OFW-12: AI and ML in Conflict Escalation & De-escalation

Fighter Pilot Podcast

E. Vincent "Jell-O" Aiello, Retired U.S. Navy Fighter Pilot

History, Personal Journals, Technology, Society & Culture, Government, Leisure, Aviation

4.9 • 2K Ratings

🗓️ 18 May 2025

⏱️ 69 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

On Future War is a 12-part series exploring the evolving landscape of military strategy and defense technologies with a focus on the Indo-Pacific.

On this final episode, OFW series host Scott "Roger" Chafian and guest Mike Roundtree discuss how artificial intelligence and machine learning figure in escalation and de-escalation of conflict. Beyond military forces increasing their readiness, escalation includes a nation’s infrastructure, communication networks, economy and other attributes. Continuous training with modeling helps build muscle memory to react and ensure situations never get to the point where they will have cataclysmic consequences.

Brought to you by Authentic Media with the support of Cubic Defense.

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Transcript

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0:00.0	Hello and welcome to the fighter pilot podcast. I am your host, Vincent Aiello, and this week we bring you the 12th and final installment of On Future War, the almost monthly series from our friends at Authentic Media in cooperation with Cubic Defense.
0:16.0	On this episode, Scott Chafian and his guest, Roundtree discuss artificial intelligence and machine learning
0:22.7	and how they figure into the escalation and de-escalation of conflict.
0:27.4	Now, perhaps like me, when you think about tensions escalating, you imagine military forces
0:32.4	increasing their readiness, but it is so much more complicated, including a nation's infrastructure, communication networks,
0:39.3	economy, and many other attributes. Continuous running models can provide options to help
0:45.0	decision makers, well, make the best decisions. So, without further delay, let's get to this
0:50.8	fascinating discussion. Here we go. As technologies and geopolitics change, so does the nature of warfare.
1:01.0	Welcome back to On Future War, a series sponsored by Cubic Defense that looks at emerging technologies
1:07.0	and how they may affect peer and near peer level conflict in the future, particularly in the
1:12.6	Indo-Pacific region, with a specific focus on military tactics, operations, and strategy, and their
1:19.2	interaction with the other instruments of national security policy. The future is now.
1:30.0	The United States of America was suddenly and deliberately attacked by naval and air forces of the Empire of Japan.
1:42.0	Mr. Gorbachev tear down this wall.
1:46.4	The people who knocked these buildings down will hear all of us soon.
2:00.5	Welcome back to On Future War.
2:02.9	Tonight, the series culminates with a discussion of how AI supported by machine learning will affect, enable, and shape modern escalation and de-escalation.
2:13.2	Mike Gravey-Roundtree joins me to talk about applying modern decision-making systems to historical
2:19.0	models of conflict management, escalation, and de-escalation, especially focusing on how
2:25.3	AI can support more informed choices in vastly shortened decision cycles.
2:30.6	I'm your host, Scott Roger Chafian, and this is On Future War.
2:36.1	This is Authentic.
	...

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