Nicholas Glinsman: Bumbling Biden, Overhyped China, & the Commodities Macro Trade
Geopolitics & Empire
Geopolitics & Empire
4.2 • 568 Ratings
🗓️ 27 August 2021
⏱️ 53 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
EvoCapital CEO, macro specialist, and geopolitics commentator Nicholas Glinsman covers the waterfront. He touches on Latin America and how it’s sold itself to China, vaccine logistics, how the vaccine passport is the social credit system, and how he thinks governments may not let go of the emergency public health powers they’ve awarded themselves. He gives his thoughts on the future of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, CBDCs, and how the U.S. could maintain its financial weapon of mass destruction (dollar as world reserve). He discusses the Biden administration, Biden’s propensity to “f-things up” (according to Obama), the Afghan debacle, and the midterm elections. He looks at whether the Fed will do QT or QE, and the road to Japanification, stagflation, and hyperinflation. He also comments on the Taiwan situation and how the rise of China has been overhyped. He sees commodities as the big macro trade.
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Websites
Intelligence Quarterly http://www.intelligencequarterly.com
Twitter https://twitter.com/nglinsman
About Nicholas Glinsman
Nick Glinsman is the co-founder and CIO of EVO Capital LLC. He does a lot of writing and some portfolio management. He was a macro portfolio manager in one of the big micro funds in London for quite a few years. Prior to that, Nick was with Salomon Brothers. Now, he concentrates on providing key intel, both economics and politics on a global level to finance managers and politicos.
*Podcast intro music is from the song “The Queens Jig” by “Musicke & Mirth” from their album “Music for Two Lyra Viols”: http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Geopolitics and Empire is joined by Nicholas Glensman, CEO of Avo Capital, a macro specialist |
| 0:06.0 | and commentator on geopolitics, politics, politics, and history. |
| 0:09.3 | Thank you for joining the podcast, Nicholas. |
| 0:11.1 | I believe you're currently somewhere in Brazil. |
| 0:13.4 | How are things in South America? |
| 0:15.8 | Well, it's interesting. |
| 0:19.0 | You know, Latin America is quite a bit behind Europe and the US in terms of vaccination. |
| 0:29.4 | I just don't, it's verified Brazil itself. |
| 0:32.7 | I'm finding a bit of a conundrum insofar as the central bank is raising rates aggressively and |
| 0:38.6 | overshooting to quell inflation. But there's a bit of a fiscal crisis and the bond market had a |
| 0:44.7 | very severe adjustment last week. And I'm sort of at a loss to wonder what they're thinking. |
| 0:52.6 | And then also, you know, just generically in Latin America, |
| 0:56.0 | the harder it gets for China to escape what I believe is, you know, the typical emerging |
| 1:02.2 | market middle income trap, the more Latin America, which has really sold itself to the Chinese, |
| 1:10.0 | will suffer economically. |
| 1:11.9 | So it's an interesting situation. |
| 1:14.4 | And I say about the vaccinations, with regards to Brazil, Brazil has an excellent system |
| 1:20.1 | of vaccinating. |
| 1:21.7 | So, you know, a couple years ago, there was a yellow fever scare. |
| 1:24.6 | You just go to the local centre, get your shot. |
| 1:27.7 | Flu, get your shot, or they go around. |
| 1:31.2 | Here, it's been a combination of not getting enough of Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca, |
... |
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