#NewWorldReport: #Argentina and the #PRC. Latin American Research Professor Evan Ellis, U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute. @revanellis #NewWorldReportEllis
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 7 July 2023
⏱️ 7 minutes
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@Batchelorshow
#NewWorldReport: #Argentina and the #PRC. Latin American Research Professor Evan Ellis, U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute. @revanellis #NewWorldReportEllis
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/argentina-election-race-narrows-libertarian-milei-loses-ground-pollsters-2023-07-05/
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| 0:22.0 | A John Bashler, the new World Report with Professor Evan Ellis, who is extremely generous to comment on this variety of candidates stretching over Central America to South America. |
| 0:36.0 | We go to Argentina now. The major election this year in all of the Americas is Argentina. And the candidates are lining up now with changes routinely. I get lost. |
| 0:48.0 | For example, the polls now say the two leading candidates are opposition block candidates, former security minister Patricia Bullrich and Buenos Aires mayor Horacio Loretta. |
| 1:03.0 | These candidates, I guess everybody's a peronista are seen as running ahead of the Fernandez is not running for reelection and his vice president. |
| 1:15.0 | Curtonary is disallowed because of a conviction. Their candidate is economy minister, Masha Sergio Masha. |
| 1:24.0 | Before my scorecard gets all messed up, Evan and I mark everything down the opposition is running well. Is that a surprise in Argentina? |
| 1:33.0 | It's not a surprise John. You have just massive problems not only long to standing frustration with with corruption, but but also with the state of the Argentine economy where you have inflation, which is now well over 100%. |
| 1:46.0 | You have a risk of currency default and trying to renegotiate IMF deals. You've had massive droughts, which have created not only currency earnings problems, but other problems for the agricultural sector, which has been one of the powerful sectors in the Argentine economy. |
| 2:03.0 | You've had many reasons for discontent. It was actually because that discontent that the sitting president, Alberto Fernandez, decided not to run. |
| 2:11.0 | Ironically, it was because of corruption charges, which have really dogged the peronists that the vice president, Cristina Fernandez, decided not to run, which basically left the current coalition, the front de Pacto dos, really much wide open. |
| 2:28.0 | So Argentina is in a situation similar to Mexico in that they're in their pre-primary phase right now where multiple candidates of multiple different parties are fostering. |
| 2:38.0 | They're going to have a big nationwide, essentially primary where everyone can vote for everyone's candidate called El Paso in about the two months here and that that will decide the final phase going into the October election. |
| 2:52.0 | As you pointed out, you have just a number of people across the spectrum. Again, a more moderate person within peronismo, who is kind of the last man standing, although they're technically others, Sergio Masa, who is the current economy minister trying to negotiate his way out of this fiscal mess, is probably the leading candidate for the left. |
| 3:14.0 | In terms of the central right, you have some of the more establishment candidates for a coalition that's called together for change, who was by a convuil, and those are the ones that you mentioned. |
| 3:24.0 | The former national security minister, Patricia Boeritz, who has seen as relatively charismatic, kind of a straight shooter, somebody who got things done during her time. |
| 3:35.0 | At the same time, you also have a charismatic former, what is obviously is Mayor Horacio Loretta. |
| 3:42.0 | They are collectively pulling forehead of where the peronist are pulling, again, for good reasons. |
| 3:50.0 | But the other candidates who had emerged from the pack, he was the dark horse candidate, but became popular because he was saying something new, is the libertarian candidate Javier Miele. |
| 4:01.0 | Again, he's talking about dollarizing the Argentine economy, basically pegging it to the dollar to try to fight inflation. |
... |
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