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Rebel Capitalist News

News: Banks Always Do This Just Before A Recession

Rebel Capitalist News

George Gammon

Investing, Business

4.71.1K Ratings

🗓️ 22 August 2023

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello for the Rebel Capitals, hope you're well.

0:02.1

So I found a couple charts on Wall Street Journal

0:04.4

that I wanted to share with you, ASAP.

0:08.0

Let's go right over, let me do a quick screen share,

0:11.1

and we're gonna pull up this first chart called Money Squeeze, net percentage of

0:16.6

domestic banks tightening standards for commercial and industrial loans.

0:22.2

So we've talked about this here on this channel quite

0:25.0

extensively that although the money supply is going down the loans outstanding

0:31.6

or outstanding credit hasn't been going down that much as far as loans and

0:35.0

leases but the loans or credit being extended to commercial purposes, industrial loans if you will, this has plummeted and we see this every

0:47.2

single time we go into a recession. So in other words, just prior or when we're in a recession, lending standards, credit becomes

0:58.7

tight.

0:59.8

And you can see that perfectly with this chart.

1:03.1

Go back to the recession of the early 1990s.

1:06.0

Where were we?

1:07.0

Very, very tight.

1:09.1

By the way, the higher this blue line goes, the tighter the lending standards are.

1:15.0

And let's see, oh, actually they are including loans to small firms, they're separating

1:21.2

it by loans to small firms and loans to large and mid-sized firms.

1:25.8

Don't know you can see that.

1:26.8

There's actually two lines here.

1:28.6

Unfortunately, they're both blue.

...

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