New York Jets 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 29 July 2022
⏱️ 13 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/new-york-jets-season-betting-preview-2022
Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)
1. Can 2021 be considered a throw away season? Rookie QB starting week 1, new coaching staff across the board and second most games lost to starters on injury?
2. Wilson was horrendous, finishing worse than 32nd in five major passing categories, and how poor he played remains a big talking point among betting previews. But how much was situation based?
3. Mike Lafleur is a SF/Shanahan coaching and passing game guy. His offenses are extremely structure based, where the QB is expected to work within the offense, and not out of it. Wilson had to become an entirely new QB, that went from relying on his athleticism, to relying on his reads and play knowledge, making quick, short throws.
4. On quick (sub league avg release times), short throws 5+ yards downfield, Wilson actually led the league in accuracy, and ranked 14th or better in success rate, YPA and EPA/att. NYJ built around that this offseason, drafting Wilson, adding big targets in Conklin/Uzomah, and keeping Carter/Moore. A lot more efficiency and balls in playmakers hands coming in 2022.
5. The Jets were last in every meaningful defensive metric last season, despite facing the 4th easiest schedule of opposing offenses. This season the schedule jumps up to average difficulty overall and above average for opposing QB’s. But these 2021 numbers are misleading and the schedule will be much more difficult than projected.
6. Lamar, Burrow, Rodgers, Cousins, Allen x2 are all top 10 QB’s. But NE x2 and MIA x2 are much improved offenses compared to 2021 and JAX/DET are each expected to take offensive leaps too. Outside of PIT, CHI and SEA, there are no easy outs for this league worst defense a year ago relying on rookies for a boost.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everybody. Friday, July 29th, another day of NFL team previews. |
| 0:06.2 | As a reminder, no Saturday, Sunday shows during the preseason. We'll get back to the daily episodes as we enter the regular season. |
| 0:14.6 | Team previews will air Monday to Friday for the next five weeks through the end of August. |
| 0:20.1 | So when you come back looking for a show |
| 0:21.5 | tomorrow, remember the next team will be up on Monday morning. I wanted to pass out a thank you to |
| 0:28.0 | everybody who took the time to pause the podcast, go down and leave a review. We are now |
| 0:33.4 | seventh on the football charts, and that's all football-related podcasts behind barstool, |
| 0:40.0 | NFL.com, the athletic, calling cowherd, and the pivot. |
| 0:44.6 | So there's some tough competition ahead, but everybody who's taking the time to go down |
| 0:49.1 | just at the bottom of the podcast app, you just pause it, scroll down, there's a one-to- to five star rating. I'm not going to turn this into a daily begging for reviews, but if you like the show, you enjoy what I have to offer, you find some value in it. You liked what happened last season, the season prior. I just go down. I would really, really appreciate it. If we can get to about 1,000 reviews, right now we're at about 415, which is an incredible |
| 1:13.0 | uptick. I think if we get to a thousand, we can actually crack the top five, which would be |
| 1:17.8 | pretty spectacular and pretty nice to see, I think, for everybody who listens to this show |
| 1:22.8 | on a daily basis. Today, we are looking at the New York Jets, and it's an interesting review |
| 1:30.7 | from the perspective of it can really be oversimplified. So what I mean by that is if we were |
| 1:37.2 | just to dumb this team down to the most basic level and sort of categorize the outlooks |
| 1:42.5 | that other preview spots have, other betters have, |
| 1:46.2 | and just really simplify it. |
| 1:48.5 | If you like the Jets in 2022, there's a very good chance that you're looking at 2021 |
| 1:56.5 | as a throwaway season, and I'll explain why in a second. |
| 2:00.8 | And if you do not like the Jets in 2022, |
| 2:04.9 | it's because you think that Zach Wilson is incredibly limited as a quarterback within this league. |
| 2:12.7 | So I'll start with the throwaway case. |
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