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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

New York Giants 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 4 August 2022

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/new-york-giants-season-betting-preview-2022 

Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)


1. I have made a number of bets on the Giants heading into 2022. They include, make the playoffs yes (+225), win the divison (+700), win 10+ games (+400) and Daboll COY (+1500). 

2. This is a team that is priced similarly to last year, but has an upgrade at GM, Head Coach, Offensive Coordinator and Defensive Coordinator. 

3. Their strength of schedule shifts from second most difficult in 2021 to one of the ten easiest in 2022. Just those changes alone warrant a higher price point, but add in regression due to injury (QB, RB, and WR 1,2,3 missed a combined 30 games in 2021) and things point up for New York. 

4. The biggest shift will be the play calling and offensive structure from Daboll. During his time in Buffalo he prioritized aggression early, building a lead, hitting explosive plays, smart QB designed runs and red zone execution, where his teams ranked among the best in the league each season. In comparison, this Giants offense ranked worst. 

5. I think there is a lot of hidden talent on the Giants roster suppresed from years of poor coaching. I believe 2022 is the breakthrough while the rest of the division stays static or takes a step back. 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everybody, the simple handicap for Thursday, August 4th, continuing on with NFL team

0:05.8

previews today looking at the New York football giants. And for the first time of any previews,

0:12.3

here on a sports betting podcast, we open the preview with a number of bets. I finally have a stance.

0:19.0

We've got through and sort of waded through a lot of these garbage teams that I'll have circled and I finally have a stance. We've got through and sort of waited through a lot of

0:22.2

these garbage teams that I'll have circled and I'll be looking for week to week. But now we

0:26.5

finally have some futures. There's going to be more coming as we get through these teams.

0:31.7

Got a lot of strong opinions on teams in the top half of the league. We're starting to get into

0:36.5

the meat of it here with the

0:37.7

Giants day number nine of the preview series. So these bets are at widely available numbers.

0:43.5

This is the floor that I would take for each and these are all currently available at the time

0:48.5

I am recording this podcast. So if you've listened to previous spots that I've done, chances are you have better

0:55.8

odds on some of these bets. So here we go. First and foremost, New York Giants, yes, to make the

1:02.4

playoffs, plus 225. New York Giants to win the NFC East, 7 to 1. New York Giants to win 10 games or more, 4 to 1, and Brian

1:17.5

Dayball coach of the year 15 to 1. Four bets that I think kind of set the tone for where a guy

1:24.5

is going with this preview. I'll make it really, really simple to sort of back

1:30.1

that up. This is the team that is not priced overly different from what they were in 2021,

1:37.2

but they have a massive. And I cannot understate the word massive enough for how big of a coaching upgrade this is

1:47.1

going from joe judge to brian dable it is absolutely enormous it does not get in terms of

1:54.5

improvement bigger than going from what judge was a year ago to what we expect they will to be in 2022.

2:02.3

On top of that, you also have Gettleman out of the picture.

2:06.0

He has held this franchise back in ways that nobody ever anticipated the GM could,

2:11.5

has just limited them beyond belief.

...

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