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On The Market

New Mortgage Monitor Report: Sellers “Pull Back,” Will Rate Cuts Change That?

On The Market

BiggerPockets

Investing, News, Education, Business

4.8858 Ratings

🗓️ 16 September 2025

⏱️ 41 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Is this a housing market correction or a crash? Dave Meyer and ICE’s Andy Walden unpack the Mortgage Monitor: nominal home prices are up about 1.1% year over year, but real housing prices are negative; sellers are stepping back, inventory gains are cooling, and demand still tracks mortgage rates and interest rates, which points to a soft but functioning housing market. You’ll hear the regional story in Denver, Florida, and Texas, why FHA delinquencies are inching up while 2020 to 2021 loans perform well, and how soaring property insurance is squeezing affordability and debt to income ratios. Plus, a housing market prediction/forecast: if mortgage rates land in the low sixes (around 6.25% by year end), expect firmer home prices rather than a COVID era surge. Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise  Join BiggerPockets for FREE Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Property Manager Finder Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-356 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Property insurance is taking a bigger bite of the mortgage bill.

0:04.0

Right now, nearly one in every $10 paid by the average mortgage holder goes towards insurance.

0:10.9

And costs have climbed more than 11% in just the last year.

0:15.4

What does that mean for affordability?

0:17.4

Where are costs in the housing market rising fastest?

0:20.0

And how should buyers, sellers, and investors respond right now?

0:28.7

I'm Dave Meyer, joined by Andy Walden from ICE Mortgage Technology.

0:33.2

And today we're diving into everything going on with the housing market.

0:37.1

We're going to unpack their

0:38.2

latest mortgage monitor. We'll cover insurance trends, price movements, inventory, loan performance,

0:44.3

and more. This is on the market. Let's get into it. Andy, welcome back to On the Market. Thanks for

0:50.2

being here. You bet. Appreciate you having me again. Well, before we start, I just want to say thank you to you and your team. The Mortgage Monitor is such an awesome piece of content that you all put out. If you are a nerd like me, which I imagine you are because you listen to this show, you should really check this out. There's so much good data in here, and it's very accessible.

1:11.5

I think that's the thing you all do really well, is put into great visualizations, that anyone

1:16.3

can understand you don't need, you know, to dive through Excel. Like, this is a really cool

1:20.8

document. But for people who haven't read it, we're going to go deep into all the information

1:25.0

that Andy and his team have put together. Let's start,

1:28.6

Andy, just with high level overview of the housing market. You know, every forecaster, every

1:34.8

company sort of has a slightly different view of what's happening with prices and volume in the

1:40.1

country. What is the ICE data telling you? It's an interesting time in the housing market

1:46.2

right now. So our latest home price index shows annual home price growth, kind of holding

1:51.1

stable from July to August at about plus 1.1% year over year. We had been seeing this sharp

1:57.2

deceleration out there in the market. August provided a little bit of flattening.

...

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