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🗓️ 9 April 2025
⏱️ 8 minutes
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Fresh U.S. tariffs have more than doubled the cost of goods coming from China; hefty duties have been applied to goods from allies, as well — 20% for the EU and 24% for Japan. The bond market is unsettled this morning, partly in response. What exactly is going on here? Plus, our country remains deeply divided. As part of our Office Politics series, we identify some widely shared principles Americans generally agree on.
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0:00.0 | In a world of economic uncertainty, there's some certainty this morning. President Trump's sweeping new tariffs are, as of now, in force. |
0:09.9 | I'm David Brancaccio in Los Angeles. It is now a world where U.S. import duties more than double the cost of goods coming from China. |
0:17.3 | The now escalated China tariff is 104%. The U.S. has added hefty duties to goods |
0:22.8 | from allies as well. The EU 20%, Japan 24%. While U.S. stock index futures are down moderately, |
0:30.2 | minus 6 tenths percent for S&P futures now, it is the bond market that's quite unsettled this morning. |
0:35.2 | The U.S. government bond fell sharply overnight, pushing |
0:38.2 | up the benchmark 10-year interest rate for a time close to 4.5%. Marketplace's Nancy Marshall-Genzor |
0:44.6 | is here with more. Hey, David, investors sold off U.S. Treasury bonds in just a wave starting on Monday, |
0:51.5 | so price is tanked. And when that happens to bonds, it means |
0:55.5 | yields the interest rate on bonds go up. In other words, when prices are down, the U.S. |
1:01.0 | government has to offer a higher interest rate to attract investors. One key factor there, |
1:06.7 | inflation fears with tariffs making things more expensive in the U.S. What else? |
1:12.1 | Yeah, there are a number of theories here. One is investors like hedge funds had to sell bonds |
1:18.1 | because they borrowed money to buy stocks. As you know, stocks have plummeted. So now those |
1:23.4 | investors are caught short and are selling bonds to raise cash. Another theory is there will be less global trade in dollars because of the tariffs. |
1:32.6 | Citibank analysts told Reuters those dollars tend to find their way into U.S. treasuries. |
1:37.5 | So with fewer dollars around, there will be less demand for U.S. bonds. |
1:42.2 | All right. |
1:42.5 | And the 10-year interest rate is, of course, a gauge on what |
1:44.9 | consumers pay for money that we all borrow. Yes, it is. Mortgage rates are loosely tied to the 10-year |
1:51.9 | treasury bond rate. They do tend to move together. So if bond yields surge higher, so do mortgage rates. |
1:59.2 | Bond rates can also affect the rates on other types of borrowing, |
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