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The John Batchelor Show

#MrMarket: The inflation battle has years to go to average 2%, and Bidenomics is not helping. Veronique de Rugy, Mercatus Center

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John Batchelor

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4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 14 July 2023

⏱️ 8 minutes

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#MrMarket: The inflation battle has years to go to average 2%, and Bidenomics is not helping. Veronique de Rugy, Mercatus Center
https://www.wsj.com/articles/consumer-price-index-inflation-jay-powell-federal-reserve-interest-rates-920849c8

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Batcher, the Wall Street Journal of Dittorial. Inflation isn't conquered yet. Real

0:11.2

wages have only begun to increase, and the Fed isn't done. This is the journal reminding

0:17.2

those bull cases on Wall Street that it's not off to the races. The Federal Reserve

0:22.7

says 2% is a target. However, I welcome Verenick to receive the Mercatus Center my guide

0:29.0

on the task of the Federal Reserve. Verenick, the impression we get from the inflation

0:36.4

number, the CPI. There's always more data coming. The CPI is that the 10 hikes in the last

0:42.4

year are finally resulting in a reduction of the inflation number. Now at 3% although

0:49.2

the core is much higher at 4% or 4.1. The Wall Street Journal sounds like a school

0:55.6

marm saying, do your homework. Is it warranted to remind everyone that inflation is not beaten?

1:02.4

Good evening to you. Good evening, John. Yes, it is warranted because as you and I have

1:08.3

talked about many times, Wall Street would have wanted the Fed to stop fighting inflation

1:16.1

seven, eight, nine months ago. They've always been against this and there's a tremendous

1:23.8

amount of pressure on the Federal Reserve to actually stop fighting inflation. And the

1:30.7

problem is that if they stop too early, it's going to go up again. And as you said, core

1:40.9

inflation is nowhere near where we want it. And I assume that the market has already priced

1:48.3

in a fair amount of the future hikes because people are expecting that they will be future

1:56.9

hikes. So I'm just kind of, yeah, it's important to remind people that it's not done.

2:05.7

There is a term, a metaphorical term now being banded about soft landing, meaning that

2:11.4

the Fed is like, it's like a fairy tale. It's not too hot, not too cold, just right. Is

2:17.4

that possible? It's hard. It's hard. We're in a situation that we haven't seen before where

2:25.3

interest rates have gone up quite dramatically. And yet the impact of the traditional

2:34.4

big recession impact that we would see with such a rapid hike has not taken place.

...

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