4.6 • 13.2K Ratings
🗓️ 10 March 2023
⏱️ 9 minutes
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0:00.0 | The optimism bias from what I understood is that is that bias to believing that the future |
0:08.6 | will be good? |
0:10.3 | Is that accurate or is that an accurate? |
0:12.2 | Yeah, kind of. |
0:13.2 | So optimism on its own means... |
0:15.2 | You're really leaving them wrong. |
0:16.2 | No, you're not wrong. |
0:17.2 | I think what you mean is right. |
0:19.2 | Thank you. |
0:20.2 | I'll just give you the scientific definition. |
0:22.2 | So optimism is believing that positive things will happen. |
0:27.5 | The optimism bias means that you believe these optimistic things, these good things will |
0:34.7 | happen, but the evidence suggests otherwise. |
0:38.4 | So it's actually a mistake, right? |
0:40.3 | The optimism bias. |
0:41.5 | So usually we define it as overestimating the likelihood of positive events happening. |
0:46.8 | So you're overestimating how much money am I going to get with my first job when I leave |
0:52.1 | a graduate school, right, or overestimating how long my marriage will last, and so on. |
0:57.6 | So overestimating the positive in light of the evidence that is in front of us and |
1:03.6 | underestimating the likelihood of negative events happening. |
1:07.5 | So underestimating might be getting COVID, getting cancer, being in a car accident, going |
1:12.2 | bankrupt, whatever it is, based on whatever evidence is there. |
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