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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Markets Update: March 6, 2020

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 6 March 2020

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Amelia Garnett of Goldman Sachs' Global Markets Division provides a quick update on how investors are responding to ongoing volatility around coronavirus concerns.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to our exchanges Goldman Sachs markets update from March 6th. Every week we sit down with

0:07.5

leaders across the firm to get their quick take on what they're watching in markets and today

0:10.8

we have our first ever guest Amelia Garnett back on from our global markets and

0:15.0

today we have our first ever guest Amelia Garnett back on from our global markets division.

0:15.7

Amelia, welcome to the program.

0:17.0

Thank you so much for having me back.

0:18.5

All right, so Amelia, crazy times on the trading floor.

0:22.0

How does it feel right now to be down there?

0:23.3

It's wild. I mean, these have been some of the most volatile markets during my career at Goldman.

0:27.4

Busiest by far. Yes, it's been very volatile and there's been a lot to keep up with.

0:31.6

So coronavirus is obviously front center for investors and it's led to a lot of volatility.

0:37.0

What's happening?

0:38.0

So modeling and pricing the economic impact of a global epidemic is not something investors would claim to have an edge on.

0:44.0

We've seen unprecedented moves across asset classes.

0:47.0

It's hard to ignore the move lower in equity markets, yields across the globe, the dollar, oil and so on,

0:53.0

and investors are just grappling to manage risk

0:55.1

amidst poor liquidity and respond to the evolving news flow.

0:58.4

So what's been priced into where the markets are right now?

1:01.3

Sure, so to put some context on the moves, rate markets now price for the Fed to cut rates by the end of this year

1:07.8

to around 30 basis points.

1:10.0

And on a forward-looking basis, it looks like they'll never be able to raise rates beyond, let's say, 70 basis points over the next 10 years.

1:17.0

At the same time, inflation expectations are at all-time lows despite the fact that the Fed's cutting rates. So in short the market is

...

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