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Macro Voices

MacroVoices #507 Michael Howell: Is This The end of the Everything Bubble

Macro Voices

Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Business, Investing, Business:investing

4.83.4K Ratings

🗓️ 20 November 2025

⏱️ 72 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Howell. They’ll discuss the global liquidity cycle, why it has a 65-month periodicity, and where we stand in that cycle right now. https://bit.ly/3X7ZN0J   🔻Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/4pkiqdI   ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/4d1fcag    🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is Macro Voices, the free weekly financial podcast targeting professional finance, high net worth individuals, family offices, and other sophisticated investors.

0:18.8

Macrovoices is all about the brightest minds in the world of finance

0:22.6

and macroeconomics telling it like it is, bullish or bearish, no holds barred. Now, here are

0:29.0

your hosts, Eric Townsend and Patrick Suresna. Macrovoices episode 507 was produced on November 20th,

0:37.3

2025.

0:38.5

I'm Eric Townsend.

0:39.7

With everyone questioning whether the bull trend in equities is topping out,

0:44.0

this is a perfect time to take a deep dive on the 65-month global liquidity cycle.

0:49.7

So Global Liquidity Index's CEO Michael Howell returns as this week's feature interview guest.

0:55.1

We'll discuss the global liquidity cycle, why it has a 65-month periodicity, and where we stand

1:01.4

in that cycle right now. We'll also discuss why Michael thinks that the period of equity outperformance

1:07.2

is probably winding down and why commodities outperformance likely comes next.

1:12.6

Then be sure to stay tuned for our trade of the week segment right after the feature

1:16.5

interview when Patrick will translate Michael's outlook on interest rates to an option spread

1:22.0

trade on Sofer futures.

1:24.3

In observance of the American Thanksgiving holiday, macro voices will be released one day early

1:29.4

next week on Wednesday, November 26th. And I'm Patrick Suresna with the macro scoreboard week

1:35.3

over week as of the close of Wednesday, November 19th, 2025. The S&P 500 index down 304 basis

1:43.3

points trading at 6642.

1:45.9

The market has now finally experienced the first peak to trough 5% market correction since Liberation Day.

1:53.3

We'll take a closer look at that and the key technical levels to watch during the postgame segment.

1:58.6

The U.S. dollar index up 64 basis points, trading to 100 spot 11.

...

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