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Macro Voices

MacroVoices #397 Alex Gurevich: The Real Rates Tsunami

Macro Voices

Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Business, Investing, Business:investing

4.83.4K Ratings

🗓️ 12 October 2023

⏱️ 67 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back, Honte investments fund manager Alex Gurevich. Erik and Alex discuss the reasons why Alex is still committed to the long duration trade long-term, and why that trade hasn’t been performing recently. https://bit.ly/3RW7Hcj Alex's Market Note: https://bit.ly/3FhA9xH Check out Energy Transition Crisis on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@EnergyTransitionCrisis1 Download Big Picture Trading Chartbook 📈📉: https://bit.ly/3PTuFOD ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/2JjZR7J Please visit our website https://www.macrovoices.com to register your free account to gain access to supporting materials

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is MacroVoices, the free weekly financial podcast targeting professional finance, high

0:13.6

net worth individuals, family offices, and other sophisticated investors. MacroVoices

0:19.6

is all about the brightest minds in the world of finance and macroeconomics telling it

0:24.4

like it is, bullish or bearish, no holds barred. Now, here are your hosts, Eric Townsend

0:30.7

and Patrick Ceresna. MacroVoices episode 397 was produced on October 12, 2023. I'm Eric

0:40.2

Townsend. Hante Investments Fund Manager, Alex Garevich returns as this week's feature

0:45.0

interview guest. We'll discuss the reasons Alex is still committed to the long duration

0:49.4

trade, at least in the long term, and why that trade hasn't been performing so much recently

0:54.0

in the short term. We'll also discuss the longer term crude oil market outlook.

0:58.5

And I'm Patrick Ceresna with the Macro scoreboard week over week as of the close of Wednesday,

1:02.4

October 11, 2023. The S&P 500 December futures were up 261 basis points closing at

1:09.8

44.09. Markets are finally mean reverting some of the previous week's very oversold

1:14.8

state. We'll take a look at that chart and the technical levels to watch in the postgame

1:18.6

segment. The US dollar index down 98 basis points to 105 spot 72. The dollar has put

1:26.3

in a short term swing high and is now consolidating November WTI crude oil contract down 87 basis

1:33.4

points closing at 83.49. We'll take a look at that chart and the postgame with Eric,

1:38.7

the November, our Bob gasoline futures up 45 basis points to 221 prices settling down

1:45.6

after last week's volatility. The December gold contract up 283 basis points closing at 1887,

1:53.9

quickly retracing 50% of the losses from their September weakness, copper up 56 basis points

1:59.8

to 361 uranium down 157 basis points to 69 dollars. Even the US 10 year treasure yield down

2:09.1

18 basis points closing at 456 yields sharply reverting the very strong advance from September.

2:16.6

The key news to watch this week is that University of Michigan consumer sentiment number and next

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