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Macro Voices

MacroVoices #388 Lakshman Achuthan: Recession Still On Deck

Macro Voices

Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Business, Investing, Business:investing

4.83.4K Ratings

🗓️ 9 August 2023

⏱️ 70 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome ECRI co-founder Lakshman Achuthan to the show to discuss the business cycle and why the expected recession is taking longer than expected to arrive before moving on to discuss whether a new secular inflation trend underlies the transitory inflation from pandemic supply chain effects, which is now receding. https://bit.ly/3DRqq0o Download Lakshman’s Charts: https://bit.ly/45ndvih Download Big Picture Trading chartbook 📈📉 https://bit.ly/3DSqDAu ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://bit.ly/2JjZR7J Check out Nick's YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/Optionfinity Join OptionFinity discord: https://discord.gg/Rvnsv6Y Please visit our website https://www.macrovoices.com to register your free account to gain access to supporting materials

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is MacroVoices, the free weekly financial podcast targeting professional finance, high

0:14.4

net worth individuals, family offices, and other sophisticated investors. MacroVoices

0:20.4

is all about the brightest minds in the world of finance and macroeconomics telling it

0:25.2

like it is, bullish your bearish, no holds barred. Now, here are your hosts, Eric Townsend

0:31.4

and Patrick Ceresna.

0:36.2

MacroVoices episode 388 was produced on August 10, 2023. I'm Eric Townsend.

0:42.3

Ekri co-founder Lakshmana Chuthan returns as this week's feature interview guest will discuss

0:46.7

the business cycle and why the expected recession is taking longer than expected to arrive before

0:52.2

moving on to discuss whether a new secular inflation trend underlies the transitory inflation

0:58.0

from pandemic supply chain effects, which is now receding.

1:01.4

And I'm Patrick Ceresna with the macro scoreboard week over week as of the close of Wednesday,

1:06.1

August 9, 2023. The S&P 500 futures were down 115 points closing at 4485. We'll take

1:15.0

a closer look at that chart and the key technical levels to watch in the postgame. The US dollar

1:20.1

index down 13 basis points to a 10247, pausing last week's advance just prior to the release

1:27.3

of these inflation numbers. The September WTII crude oil contract up 618 points to 8440,

1:37.1

broken now to a new 2023 high. We'll look at that chart and the postgame and Eric will have the

1:43.2

EIA inventory data. Gold is down 127 basis points in 1950. The advance has stalled.

1:51.0

We'll be important to see if the bulls can defend the price action here. Copper down 156

1:56.0

basis points to 378. Dr. Copper continuing to struggle and uranium unchanged at 5640.

2:03.6

That US 10 year treasury yield down seven basis points closing at 401 points. Retracing

2:10.4

its advance after hitting a 420 high last week, the key news to watch this week is Friday's

2:16.5

PPI inflation numbers and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment numbers. Next week,

...

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