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Animal Spirits Podcast

Lifestyle Creep (EP.210)

Animal Spirits Podcast

The Compound

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.72.1K Ratings

🗓️ 23 June 2021

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today's show we discuss inflation, why bond yields are falling, getting wrecked in DeFi, fintech's customer service problem, taking a family loan to buy a house, managing the economic boom and much more.   Find complete shownotes on our blogs... Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common Sense Michael Batnick’s The Irrelevant Investor Like us on Facebook And feel free to shoot us an email at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Today's animal spirits is brought to you by our friends at Y-charts checking out the

0:05.1

trailing 12-month inflation rate on Y-charts. Tucked it in their US inflation rate.

0:09.6

They have chat put on Y-charts.

0:12.6

The government inflation rate probably manipulated 4.99% over the last year, which is the highest

0:19.7

it briefly touched above 5% in 2008 right before the crash. I think that was basically oil

0:24.8

going to $150 a barrel. But before then, the highest it's been since like 1991 when it hit

0:30.3

6%. So inflation is much higher. And then, okay, I have the new Star Wars meme I'm trying to

0:36.4

stay hip here. My inflation is the highest been in over a decade. And now the report says,

0:41.0

so Bony is a rising, right? Wait, Bony is a rising, right? No, it's not. So I typed in,

0:45.6

is this the new meme format? Because this movie's got to be 20 years old. Yeah, I know. And they're

0:51.4

all pretty bad too, right? The prequels. Anyway, so I like to look at the obviously it's not just

0:57.1

one interest rate you look at. So on Y-charts, you can type in the 30 year, the 20 year, the 10 year,

1:01.4

7521. And I put in all those ones and that gives you the yield curve. So I love this chart because it

1:06.4

shows how different rates change over time. They're not always moving in concert with one another. But

1:11.7

30 year treasury rate is now under 2%. The 20 years has been there to the 10 years under 1.5%.

1:19.5

All of these interest rates are rolling over again, even though inflation is 5%. Just something

1:24.1

for everyone here. And short term interest rates obviously are not budging. So we've got a flattening

1:28.9

of the curve as they say. Yes. So I love creating this chart here where you look at the different

1:33.6

positioning of the yield curve. Pretty easy to do on Y-charts. Go to Y-charts if you haven't signed

1:37.8

up yet. Tell them annual spirits and you need to 20% off your first subscription.

1:41.9

Welcome to Animal Spirits, a show about markets, life and investing. Join Michael Batnik and Ben

1:48.2

Carlson as they talk about what they're reading, writing and watching.

...

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