4.4 • 3K Ratings
🗓️ 9 August 2025
⏱️ 21 minutes
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0:00.0 | How does the current bull market compare to those of the past? |
0:08.0 | And what can we learn from the happiest retirees? |
0:10.0 | You're listening to the Saturday Personal Finance Edition of Motley Full Money. |
0:19.0 | I'm Robert Brokamp, and this week is part one of my discussion with financial advisor and author |
0:25.1 | Wes Moss about his research on the financial and non-financial characteristics of a fulfilling |
0:30.2 | retirement. But first, let's start with last week in money. Now, first item comes from |
0:35.5 | Jury and Timmer, director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments, |
0:38.9 | who puts out an interesting report each week and his recent edition pointed out that the |
0:42.7 | current bull market in U.S. stocks that began in October of 2022 is now 33 months old and has |
0:50.5 | produced an 84% gain. |
0:53.0 | And no, the tariff tantrum from this past spring didn't technically end the bull market, |
0:57.0 | though it came pretty close. |
0:58.0 | According to Timmer, since 1960, the median bull market lasts 30 months and produces gains of 90%. |
1:06.0 | So the current run is right about at the median in terms of length and gains. However, what's somewhat different |
1:12.1 | this time is breadth. Not all stocks are posting extraordinary gains, and Timmer wrote that only |
1:18.0 | 35% of stocks are outperforming the index. He found that only two bull markets had similarly |
1:24.2 | low breadth figures, and they were the 1970 to 1973 rise of the so-called |
1:29.1 | 50-50, and the 1998-2,000 tech boom. Both of those bull markets were followed by bear |
1:35.8 | markets that cut the S&P 500's value in half. This current ball market has been driven primarily |
1:42.0 | by tech-oriented growth stocks with a heavy emphasis on AI-related companies, |
1:46.4 | which brings us to our next item, and it comes from Renaissance macro research, also known as RenMAC, |
1:51.9 | which calculated that investment in AI, including both equipment and software, |
... |
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