4.8 • 786 Ratings
🗓️ 5 October 2024
⏱️ 14 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. |
0:09.3 | It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world. |
0:18.2 | What's going on, guys? It is Friday, October 4th, and today we are discussing what J.P. Morgan says about Bitcoin as a safe haven. |
0:26.1 | Before we get into that, however, if you were enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it, |
0:29.6 | give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation, |
0:32.8 | come join us on the Breakers Discord. You can find a link of the show notes or go to bit.ly slash breakdown pod. |
0:42.3 | All right, friends, happy Friday. I'm traveling today, so we are not doing our normal Friday 5. Instead, I am talking about some interesting recent comments from J.P. Morgan. Basically, |
0:48.5 | with geopolitical risk on the rise, JPM thinks investors will flock back to Bitcoin. On Thursday, JPMorgan analysts covering |
0:55.9 | global market strategies said in a note, rising geopolitical tensions in the coming U.S. election |
1:00.3 | are likely to reinforce what some investors call the debasement trade, thus favoring both gold |
1:05.5 | and Bitcoin. So there were a few really interesting things going on with this call. First, |
1:10.1 | it flies in the face of |
1:11.2 | short-term market action. On Tuesday night, as the rocket started flying in the Middle East, |
1:15.3 | Bitcoin plunged while gold soared. The analysts are saying that both assets are part of the |
1:19.7 | same trade, or at least that their client should start thinking of gold and Bitcoin is having |
1:23.3 | a lot of similarities. They even called out the idea that gold was getting a little ahead of itself, |
1:32.6 | adding, this increase in gold prices is influenced by a 4 to 5% decline in the dollar, and a significant drop in real U.S. treasury yields by 50 to 80 basis points. However, the appreciation of gold |
1:37.5 | has exceeded what these factors alone would suggest, indicating a reemergence of the debasement |
1:41.4 | trade. The nob was essentially calling out that, over the medium and long term, Bitcoin will be driven |
1:46.0 | by the same underlying factors that are driving gold higher, alongside geopolitical risk, |
1:50.0 | analysts referenced ongoing inflation concerns, soaring government deficits around the world, |
1:54.0 | and awaining confidence in fiat currencies. |
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