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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

It's All About the Numbers

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 24 October 2022

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

President Xi Jinping strengthened his hold on power and took definitive steps to reverse a half-century of open relations with the West at last weekend’s National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, triggering a steep sell-off of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks. The major equity indexes were all well in the green through midday – “Powder dry kind of day… yields up, VIX up, dollar steady – action sloppy,” is how Michele “Mish” Schneider, the Director of Trading Research and Education at MarketGauge.com, described it on Twitter. Maggie Lake welcomes Mish for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about what she’s looking at as earnings season kicks into high gear, inflation, commodities, and the dollar. We also hear from Victor Shih on President Xi Jinping’s motivation for closing China. Watch the complete conversation between Victor Shih and Maggie Lake here:https://rvtv.io/3gFAdOR. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:37.0

Hi, everyone. Before we begin, just a reminder. We know these are really tough times.

0:42.0

So to stay true to our mission and help investors, we've just reduced the price of subscription to Real Vision Essential to $99 for the year.

0:50.0

And the plus tier is $400. And that is going on until the end of October.

0:56.0

So get ahead and jump on that. All right. Now let's head to the show.

1:01.0

We'll earnings surprise to the upside. Welcome to the Real Vision Daily Briefing here with me today is Mish Schneider, director of trading research and education at market gauge.com. Hi, Mish.

1:11.0

Hi, Maggie.

1:13.0

It's so nice to see you. We were chatting right before the show and I was saying we're so grateful because you can talk about everything.

1:20.0

And I kind of feel like we need to talk about everything. But let's start with stocks because we saw US equities rally ahead of what's going to be a really busy week for earnings.

1:30.0

And that was interesting because there'd been a lot of trepidation ahead of that. I felt like so we've got Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, I mean all the biggies coming up.

1:39.0

When you looked at the action today, did you get the sense that maybe investors were kind of rethinking that and anticipating slightly better news or does today feel more technical in nature?

1:50.0

Let's say maybe a little bit of both because we started out on the heels of a PMI that's softened a little bit.

1:56.0

So even though we have absolutely zero evidence of a Fed pivot, everybody immediately jumps to the conclusion that the Fed is going to pivot.

2:04.0

And so, you know, just to get the Fed conversation out of the way, we can say that my anticipation is that the Fed may slow the rate of change in terms of how fast they raise the rates.

2:17.0

But that's a lot different than doing a pivot. And there's no reason why they should pivot at this point. So even with a softer PMI, we do have PCE numbers coming out at the end.

2:28.0

So I think that that's where the fundamentals came from and earnings so far haven't been nearly as disastrous as people already thought starting with the bank earnings that we had a week or so ago.

2:39.0

So we'll see, we'll see what happens with these big earnings, but I'd say the technical part of this is very much a factor.

2:47.0

And we can talk about that, particularly if we want to look at our economic modern family here.

...

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