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The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

It's a Numbers Game: Virginia Governor Ratings Shock: Abigail Spanberger’s Ratings Collapse in New Polling

The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

iHeartPodcasts

Society & Culture, Daily News, News, Politics, News Commentary

4.511.4K Ratings

🗓️ 17 April 2026

⏱️ 40 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode, Ryan sits down with polling expert Chaz Nuttycombe, executive director of State Navigate, to break down one of the most fascinating and tightly contested political landscapes in the country. Why are recent Virginia polls diverging from expectations? What makes a poll truly accurate in today’s volatile political climate? And which voter groups are driving the biggest shifts ahead of the next election?

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is an I-Heart podcast.

0:02.6

Guaranteed Human.

0:07.6

Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan Grudowski.

0:09.6

Thank you guys for being here.

0:10.8

We have an exciting episode today.

0:12.2

We're doing an interview about a new poll that's out in the Virginia's election, both

0:16.7

on the favorability of the governor, as well as the referendum to redistrict that entire state

0:22.0

into multiple new Democratic districts. That's very interesting. We have the pollster who was more

0:26.3

accurate than any other one during the 2025 election. So very interested to hear what he has to say

0:32.5

about why Spamberger's favorability ratings seem to be going down, as well as how close really is it for this

0:38.4

referendum on new Democratic districts. But before we get to that, let's talk about some immigration

0:43.5

news from the White House. First, a story from MPR about the number of immigrants being processed

0:49.2

by USCIS for naturalization, meaning citizenship. It has hit a record low since the organization began taking totals back in 2022.

0:59.3

I preface this.

1:00.5

It's odd that it's only been 2022 since they started taking this kind of data.

1:05.1

I feel like it should be going on a lot longer.

1:08.0

This is the story for NPR.

1:09.1

Quote, during the first few months of the Trump's second term, the administration approved

1:12.7

a record high number of naturalizations. At the peak of 2025, 88,488 applications were

1:20.0

approved in one month. The largest number since the USCIS began tracking month-to-month

1:25.4

naturalization since 2022. But in January of this year,

1:29.3

that number dipped to 32,862, the lowest since USCIS began tracking that data. The decrease in

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