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The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

It's a Numbers Game: The Numbers Behind the 2026 Midterm Elections

The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

iHeartPodcasts

Politics, Daily News, Society & Culture, News Commentary, News

4.311.1K Ratings

🗓️ 16 June 2025

⏱️ 45 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode, Ryan and guest Armin Thomas analyze the challenges facing Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 U.S. Senate elections. They discuss historical trends, demographic shifts, and increasing polarization, highlighting how Democrats struggle to maintain their coalition in changing states.

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:36.9

Welcome back to a numbers game podcast of Ryan Gurdeski. I'm your host. Happy Monday. I hope you all had a

0:42.7

wonderful weekend. Right now in Washington, D.C., Republicans and Democrats are very busy, actively

0:48.8

recruiting candidates for the 26th U.S. Senate election. Democrats have to defend two Senate seats in states that Trump won,

0:56.8

Georgia and Michigan, as well as a handful of states that were closer than expected in places

1:01.9

like New Hampshire, Minnesota, New Mexico, Virginia, and New Jersey. Republicans, on the other hand,

1:07.6

have to only defend one incumbent in a blue state. That's Susan Collins and Maine.

1:12.9

The only other Republican even running in a swing state is Tom Tillis, North Carolina. And remember, that's a state that Trump won three times.

1:21.2

Every other state where Democrats have to try to compete in is basically a long shot, Iowa, Florida, and Texas. Democrats have a very

1:30.4

slim road to the majority in the Senate, and it's not just this year. See, and I want to go back

1:35.6

in history for a second. I want to show you how difficult it is for Democrats to win majorities

1:41.5

and large majorities. In 2022, Republicans really screwed up, and they fell a little

1:48.7

short in 2024. They nominated bad candidates. They were caught flat foot on abortion. They

1:53.8

were outspent and outgunned. And voters in Arizona fell in love with the crazy con artist

...

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