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The Ezra Klein Show

Is Trump Losing? A Debate

The Ezra Klein Show

New York Times Opinion

Society & Culture, Government, News

4.611K Ratings

🗓️ 16 May 2025

⏱️ 74 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Is Donald Trump eroding American democracy and consolidating power for himself? Or is he trying to do that and failing? Is this what sliding toward authoritarianism looks like? Or is this what a functioning democracy looks like? And how can you tell the difference? Two articles came out recently that offer very different perspectives on these questions. In Vox, Zack Beauchamp wrote a piece called “Trump Is Losing,” which argues that Trump’s efforts to cow his enemies and consolidate power are not organized or strategic enough to make a serious dent in our democratic system. In The New Yorker, Andrew Marantz published a piece that he reported in Hungary, about how life in a modern authoritarian regime doesn’t look and feel like you might expect: “You can live through the big one, it turns out, and still go on acting as if — still go on feeling as if — the big one is not yet here,” he writes. So I invited both Beauchamp and Marantz on the show to debate these big questions: What timeline are we on? What signs are they looking at? If we’ve crossed the line into authoritarianism, how would we know? Is Trump losing? Or is it possible he’s already won? This episode contains strong language. Mentioned: How Democracies Die by Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt “The Path to American Authoritarianism” by Steven Levitsky and Lucan A. Way “How Will We Know When We Have Lost Our Democracy?” by Steven LevitskyLucan Way and Daniel Ziblatt “Don’t Believe Him” by Ezra Klein “The Emergency Is Here” by Ezra Klein Democracy May Not Exist But We’ll Miss It When It’s Gone by Astra Taylor Recommendations Political Liberalism by John Rawls Eichmann in Jerusalem by Hannah Arendt A World After Liberalism by Matthew Rose Melting Point by Rachel Cockerell I’m Still Here (film) The Constitutional Bind by Aziz Rana Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at [email protected]. You can find the transcript and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.html This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu and Jack McCordick. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Aman Sahota. Our executive producer is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Marie Cascione, Annie Galvin, Elias Isquith, Marina King, Jan Kobal and Kristin Lin. Original music by Pat McCusker. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The director of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser.

Transcript

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0:00.0

The

0:07.0

The A question we talk about a lot amongst ourselves on the show right now is what what timeline are we in and how will we know?

0:40.7

Are we watching the fundamental erosion of American democracy, of its liberties, of its safeguards?

0:48.5

Are we on a path that is quickly becoming irreversible? Or are we in the timeline where the Trump administration is doing a lot,

0:57.1

where it is trying to arrogate new powers to itself?

1:00.6

But to the extent it has a fundamental plan to reformat the way the American political system works,

1:06.9

that is simply running into too much opposition, and it has too little power to succeed.

1:13.7

Two pieces recently came out that I thought created an interesting tension and interesting ways to look at this.

1:20.4

In Vox, Zach Beecham wrote this piece called Trump is Losing.

1:25.1

Beecham is an expert on competitive authoritarianism, the slide away from democracy

1:30.8

and into something very different. His book, The Reactionary Spirit, looks at the way this has been

1:35.3

happening worldwide. And his recent piece says, it doesn't look like it's happening. That Trump is

1:42.8

losing, that if you think that what he is trying

1:44.6

to do is consolidate a certain kind of power to fundamentally change the nature of how America

1:50.3

works, that he is facing the kind of opposition that does not look surmountable.

1:55.9

In the New Yorker, Andrew Morantz, wrote a similar piece, but from a very different place,

2:00.7

from Hungary, where it already did happen.

2:03.7

And I've read a thousand pieces on Hungary at this point. But this one gave me this felt sense of the way in which when this kind of authoritarian breakthrough succeeds, it may not feel in the moment like it is succeeding.

2:16.9

Even after it is succeeded, it may not feel

2:19.4

the way you think. You can still be there in the opposition, saying the things you want to say

2:24.6

in a nice fancy cafe, drinking your ngroni, but the nature of your system is gone. This conversation

2:32.2

is not an attempt to answer the question. We are not going to know what

...

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