Is Reform about to overtake Labour? And Tulip Siddiq resigns

Coffee House Shots

The Spectator

News, Politics, Government, Daily News

4.4 • 2.1K Ratings

🗓️ 14 January 2025

⏱️ 13 minutes

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Summary

New voting intention polling today puts Reform neck and neck with Labour. The YouGov/Times poll reveals that support for Starmer’s army has plummeted nine points, with just over a quarter of Brits backing the government – while Nigel Farage’s Reform party has seen its support soar by 10 points. Kemi Badenoch’s Tories have lost two points, while the canvassing of 2,279 adults – carried out between 12–13 January – shows the Lib Dems and the Greens both gained one. Perhaps the most damning news, however, is that only half of those who backed Labour in the 2024 election would vote for them next time. Where is Reform drawing these votes from? Is this polling worse for Labour, or the Tories?

Also, earlier today Tulip Siddiq resigned from her in the Treasury after allegations she lived in homes tied to her aunt’s ousted regime in Bangladesh. Was this inevitable?

Oscar Edmondson speaks to Katy Balls and Scarlett Maguire, director at JL Partners.

Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Transcript

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0:00.0	The Spectator magazine is home to wonderful writing, insightful analysis, and unrival books and arts reviews.
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0:11.2	Alongside that, you get a £20-pound John Lewis or Waitrose voucher.
0:14.7	Go to spectator.com.uk forward slash voucher.
0:21.7	Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, the Spectator's Daily Politics Podcast.
0:26.2	I'm Oscar Edmondson, and I'm joined today by Katie Balls and Scarlett Maguire, director at J.L. Partners.
0:32.3	And we're going to be talking about new polling out today in the Times by YouGov, which will make for pretty grim reading
0:39.0	for the Prime Minister and possibly also the leader of the opposition. But perhaps we should
0:43.8	start, Katie, with the breaking news this afternoon that Tulip Sadiq has resigned. Was there a
0:48.8	degree of inevitability about this one? Yeah, I think as we talked about a bit on the podcast yesterday,
0:53.3	if ever, nothing but prescient. It seems as we talked about a bit on the podcast yesterday, if ever,
0:59.6	nothing but prescient, it seems as though it was a matter of when or if that Chilip Sadiq would go. And it also seemed like a resignation was the most likely scenario because there hasn't
1:04.6	been a sense that Kirstama wants to embarrass Chilip Sadiq. If anything, I think there's
1:10.2	been an effort to try and give her space
1:13.2	to try and have this be as amicable as possible. But in a way, the more it's dragged out,
1:18.8	I think the more obvious or clear it's become that her position was untenable. It's worth
1:23.3	pointing out that the independent advisor has come back with their report that they sent to Kirstarmer. Now, they have not found her guilty of breaking the ministerial code. And of course,
1:32.0	this is all about her links to the old Bangladeshi regime led by her aunt and a corruption
1:38.5	scandal in Bangladesh. And what linked does Tuduip Sadiq have to that? Various reports about properties, linked to those who knew her aunt,
1:48.0	that Chup Sadiq stayed in and so forth.
1:50.2	What the independent ethics advisor, Lorry Magnus, finds,
1:53.1	is that she hasn't breached the code,
	...

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