4.6 • 11K Ratings
🗓️ 5 July 2024
⏱️ 63 minutes
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0:00.0 | From New York Times opinion, this is the Ezra Klein Show. If Joe Biden steps aside, which is still a very big if, the favor to replace him is Vice President |
0:30.0 | Kamala Harris. |
0:31.7 | She is quite literally next in line. There are reasons that are obvious |
0:36.1 | for this and reasons that are a little bit more subtle like here's one. |
0:40.2 | She would make the transfer of money a lot easier. A Harris-led ticket could use all the money that the Biden-Hairs campaign is raised, |
0:46.6 | whereas because of how campaign finance law works, |
0:49.6 | if anyone else is a Democratic nominee, |
0:52.4 | that money has to be transferred to the DNC. If anyone else is a Democratic nominee, |
0:52.6 | that money has to be transferred to the DNC or to a PAC, |
0:56.8 | which would make coordination a whole lot harder. |
1:00.2 | But there's been this longstanding belief |
1:01.9 | in Democratic circles that Harris is a lot weaker than Joe Biden, that he can win the election and she can't. |
1:08.0 | The big evidence for this used to be that she polled beneath him. |
1:11.0 | That's no longer true. I was looking at the 538 polling averages |
1:14.8 | and she has a very slightly higher approval rating |
1:17.4 | and a significantly lower disapproval rating. |
1:20.1 | There was a new CNN poll. |
1:21.8 | It found Biden losing to Trump by six points, Harris losing by only two points. |
1:26.0 | Other internal Democratic polling has been leaked including by a group called Open Labs. |
1:30.0 | Looks there too like Harris is now, outperforming Biden against Donald Trump. |
1:34.3 | In polls before now she's performed similarly sometimes a point of two worse. |
1:39.3 | So far the conventional wisdom has held that Biden may be weak but Harris is also too weak. But why? |
... |
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