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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Is it Time to Throw in the (Recession) Towel? With Tony Greer

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 17 October 2023

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

​🔥 GET 3 months of Real Vision for Just $49 https://rvtv.io/3ZyY70t Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and editor of the Morning Navigator, joins with Maggie Lake to discuss the market's response to today's surprisingly strong U.S. retail sales data, what it means for the potential of a U.S. recession, the outlook for the energy market, and more.You can find more of Tony's work here: https://tgmacro.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:30.0

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0:34.0

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0:44.0

Now to the top analysis of today's markets.

0:54.0

Is it time to throw in the recession towel? Hi, everyone. Welcome to the Real Vision Daily Briefing.

0:59.0

Just in time with me is Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator newsletter.

1:05.0

Hi, Tony. You had some company. So you had to go clear the decks, huh?

1:09.0

Yeah, my dog wanted to be involved. Beckham wanted to be involved with the Real Vision Daily Briefing today.

1:13.0

But we just sorted that out. Thank you. How you doing, Maggie?

1:17.0

I'm doing well. I'm doing well. So our question that we started with is a riff on your tweet from earlier today.

1:23.0

So what do you think? Is it time to give up those recession calls after that hotter than expected retail sales?

1:28.0

Reading it certainly seemed to take people by surprise. Yeah, well, it took the bond market a bit by surprise.

1:34.0

I think you can tell by the reaction. But let's talk about the economic side first.

1:38.0

We got hotter CPI, hotter PPI than expected last week.

1:42.0

Today we got better retail sales, better ex-autos, better ex-autos and gas, better than expected industrial production, better than expected capacity utilization at almost 80%.

1:54.0

I mean, the recession bros are getting hit with so many rights. They're begging for a left at this point, right?

2:00.0

So they're going to have to adjust that idea because there's just not manifestation on the tape.

...

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