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The Inquiry

Is China’s economy in trouble?

The Inquiry

BBC

News Commentary, News

4.61.7K Ratings

🗓️ 7 October 2021

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

For decades China's economic growth has been the envy of the western world. But current signs suggest all is not well. Regulations brought in by government to curb businesses reliance on debt have badly hit the its second largest real estate developer, Evergrande and manufacturing output has been hit by power shortages. So is China’s economy in trouble?

Experts: Sara Hsu, visiting scholar at Fudan University in Shanghai Michael Pettis, Finance Professor at Peking University and a Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment Iris Pang, ING's Chief Economist for Greater China Travis Lundy, independent research analyst in Hong Kong

Presenter: Charmaine Cozier Researcher: Chris Blake Production Co-ordinator: Jacqui Johnson Sound Engineer: Neil Churchill Producer: Ben Carter Editor: Richard Vadon

(Image: People commute in front of the under-construction Guangzhou Evergrande football stadium in Guangzhou, China's southern Guangdong province on September 17, 2021. (Photo by NOEL CELIS/AFP via Getty Images)

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the inquiry with me, Tanya Beckett, one question for expert witnesses and an answer.

0:09.3

As President Xi walked on stage at the Communist Party Congress,

0:13.9

the audience erupted in thunderous applause. The Chinese leader thanked the over 2,000 people

0:20.5

before him for their loyalty and trust, then gave an opening address that lasted over an hour and

0:26.6

half in which he praised his own policies, claiming that his top priority was the financial health

0:33.6

of the country. We will build a high standard social market economy. We must uphold and improve

0:44.4

China's basic socialist economic system. We must unswervely consolidate and develop the public sector

0:52.6

and unswervingly encourage support and fight development of the downpump sector.

0:58.5

China's economy has fallen into dire shape. Youth unemployment is skyrocketing, repeated

1:05.6

Covid lockdowns are dragging on virtually every aspect of business in the country's economy,

1:11.4

and vast swathes of the population are struggling to make ends meet.

1:17.0

2022 is the first year since the early 1990s that China's economic output will fall behind

1:24.8

the rest of Asia. But President Xi made no mention of how he intended to solve these problems.

1:32.2

He did, however, anoint himself as leader for an unprecedented third term.

1:38.8

This week on the inquiry we're asking is China's economy in trouble.

1:46.8

1. How China's Economy Boomed

1:56.4

Half a century ago, China was reeling from 10 years of destructive chaos. The so-called

2:02.8

Cultural Revolution was leader Mao Zedong's attempt to wipe the country clean of any remaining

2:09.2

vestiges of capitalism, even though it had already been under communist rule for more than a

2:14.9

quarter of a century. During this so-called Revolution, innovation and ideas were systematically

2:22.5

quashed and with them any hope for the future. But all this changed in 1976 when Mao Zedong

2:31.3

died. It was a turning point. As the 1980s approached, China found itself on the brink of a new era.

...

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