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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Is Bad News Good News? With Tony Greer

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business, Business News, News, Investing

4.21K Ratings

🗓️ 29 August 2023

⏱️ 34 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Tony Greer, editor of The Morning Navigator, joins Maggie Lake to discuss a potential breakout in the tech sector, the factors driving price in commodites, and how he is positioning his portfolio at the moment. You can find more of Tony's work here: https://t.co/IuOqbaQY1a Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:54.0

Is bad news. Good news. Hi everyone. Welcome to the Real Vision Daily Briefing with me today's Tony Greer editor of the morning navigator newsletter. Hi, Tony. How you doing?

1:17.0

I'm good, Maggie. How you doing today? I'm okay. I'm okay for a Tuesday and looks like everybody else is feeling okay too.

1:23.0

We had an update for stocks, but with the Nasdaq and the S&P up over 1% looks like they actually may have ended.

1:29.0

Sort of with the strongest levels of the day, bond yields lower, the dollar lower after some week jobs data.

1:35.0

What's top of mind for you this Tuesday?

1:38.0

Yeah, that was, you know, to me, it's the market is sort of working its way out of a waterfall that we just traded into, right?

1:45.0

The market to me was tense about a couple of things, including Japan, relaxing yield curve control, including the Fitch downgrade of US debt.

1:55.0

In my opinion, that had a direct effect on the bond market. I don't care what anybody says, but neither of those things should have been fatal for the US stock market.

2:04.0

And neither of them were right middle of August. We saw a dip to 4350 in the S&P right into moving average support.

2:13.0

We saw a VIX spike to 19. We saw our yield curve flattened two year yields rise above 5% all the typical panic type stuff.

2:22.0

And we worked our way out of that, right? We saw a selling. We saw a pullback in and moving averages. We saw a sentiment go from extreme fear back to, you know, negativity and a little excuse me from greed back to neutral back to a little bit of fear in the markets.

2:39.0

And we bounce out of that, you know, that's traditionally when you should be buying stocks and things are no different on this breakout rally.

2:47.0

You know, technology everybody wanted to sell Nvidia, you know, call it a high after they printed their third quarter earnings and the stock traded up above $500 and had an outside day down and things like that.

3:00.0

But Nvidia still had a 6% to back to back 6% gains right last week in the week before.

3:06.0

So that rally clearly isn't over just yet. It had another. So I think another really strong rally today. I think it was almost a two sigma rally today.

3:14.0

We're rallying sharply behind tech as rates fall, right? That's something that we've seen before something that we've discussed.

...

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