Iran on the verge: why you don’t want the nuclear deal to fail, according to Iran expert Ali Vaez

GZERO World with Ian Bremmer

GZERO Media

Politics, News, Foreign Policy, News Commentary, Government, Geopolitics, International Relations, Ian Bremmer, Trump, Global Economy, Gzero World

4.7 • 830 Ratings

🗓️ 26 March 2022

⏱️ 21 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Renewing the Iran nuclear deal is more urgent than ever for the Biden administration. Iran is closer to getting the bomb, with the breakout time to enrich enough uranium for a single nuclear weapon reportedly less than two weeks. On the GZERO World podcast, Ian Bremmer speaks to Ali Vaez, Iran project director at the International Crisis Group, who says the odds of reaching an agreement in the short term are 50/50. There are domestic political risks for Biden either way, but a new deal would significantly delay Iran’s ability to enrich enough uranium for a weapon. It's also now clear that the real effect of pulling out of the deal in 2018 was that it boosted Iran's nuclear program. Vaez also digs into Israel's strategic interest in a deal, which they have long opposed, and Russia's role in the negotiations with Iran.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Iran's breakout time, which is the amount of time that it takes for Iran to enrich enough uranium for a single nuclear weapon, is now less than two weeks.
0:09.0	It was more than 12 months when President Trump walked into the Oval Office.
0:15.7	Hello and welcome to the GZero World Podcast. This is where you'll find extended versions of my interviews on public
0:22.5	television. I'm Ian Bremmer, and today we are looking at international efforts to revive the Iranian nuclear deal.
0:31.0	After 11 months of complex negotiations, diplomats say they are finally close to re-reaching agreement.
0:37.8	This would effectively breathe new life into a deal that was left languishing
0:41.3	after the Trump administration's unilateral withdrawal back in 2018.
0:46.1	But ongoing conflict in Ukraine involving Russia, one of the deal's key negotiators,
0:50.9	has threatened to upend progress.
0:53.3	I speak to the international crisis group's
0:55.1	Iran director, Ali Vise, who was recently in Vienna covering the talks. Let's get to it.
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