#Iran: Analysis of Tehran's offensive: Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis. Mohsen Sazegara is an Iranian journalist and pro-democracy political activist. Dr. Sazegara held several high-ranking positions in the Government of Mir-Hossein Mousavi, such as deputy pr
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 19 January 2024
⏱️ 9 minutes
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https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/01/18/irans-is-flexing-its-muscles-and-hurting-itself/
1840 TABRIZ
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This is a CBS I in the world. I'm John Ratchle with Malcolm |
| 0:07.8 | Honeline, Conference of Presidents Major American Jewish Organizations. |
| 0:11.6 | We're very pleased to welcome our colleague |
| 0:13.8 | Moson-Sazagara, an Iranian journalist and pro-democracy political activist who once |
| 0:19.8 | held positions in the Mira Saint Musavi government many years ago now our guide on the |
| 0:28.2 | mood in Tehran, the IRGC the clerics in this war that they are driving throughout the region. |
| 0:37.0 | Moses, the mood in Tehran. I know it's a melodramatic question, but I'm trying to read the risk-taking here. |
| 0:46.7 | The Hamas attack, the Hezbollah threats, the rockets, the Houthi salvos at the Red Sea, and the Iraqi-Iranian-backed militias, |
| 0:59.4 | the missiles into Kurdistan to destroy what the regime claimed was a |
| 1:04.9 | headquarters of Assad. |
| 1:06.2 | All of that adds up to an enormous amount of risk-taking. |
| 1:09.5 | Does Tehran believe they're winning the ring of fire are they confident are they arrogant what is |
| 1:15.1 | your reading of them good evening to you good evening John and Malcolm let's divide your question to two parts. |
| 1:25.0 | First, why Chameenayi, the leader, |
| 1:30.0 | ignited the war in Gaza because this was Iran that supported Hamas and designed that |
| 1:41.5 | massacre in Israel by the hands of Hamas and started that. |
| 1:47.0 | Why they did that, I believe that they had three reasons to start at first, an attack to Israel, to show that Israel |
| 2:00.5 | is weak in intelligence and in military second. |
| 2:05.8 | They wanted to peace process and normalization of the relationship between Arab states and Israel on hold and |
| 2:17.3 | postpone it at this for a while, especially Saudi Arabia. |
| 2:21.3 | And third, they wanted to feel the gaps between the regime and the people |
| 2:30.0 | and inside the regime, especially after the Geijina revolution, they had big gaps with the people and inside the regime. I have to say that they evaluate right now that at the first target they succeeded. But one of their miscalculation that now they say is that they expected |
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