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The John Batchelor Show

#Iran: Analysis of Tehran's offensive: Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis. Mohsen Sazegara is an Iranian journalist and pro-democracy political activist. Dr. Sazegara held several high-ranking positions in the Government of Mir-Hossein Mousavi, such as deputy pr

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 19 January 2024

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#Iran: Analysis of Tehran's offensive: Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis. Mohsen Sazegara is an Iranian journalist and pro-democracy political activist. Dr. Sazegara held several high-ranking positions in the Government of Mir-Hossein Mousavi, such as deputy prime minister, minister of industry, deputy chairman of the budget and planning department, and many more before becoming disillusioned with the government in 1989 and pushing for reforms. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/01/18/irans-is-flexing-its-muscles-and-hurting-itself/


1840 TABRIZ

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is a CBS I in the world. I'm John Ratchle with Malcolm

0:07.8

Honeline, Conference of Presidents Major American Jewish Organizations.

0:11.6

We're very pleased to welcome our colleague

0:13.8

Moson-Sazagara, an Iranian journalist and pro-democracy political activist who once

0:19.8

held positions in the Mira Saint Musavi government many years ago now our guide on the

0:28.2

mood in Tehran, the IRGC the clerics in this war that they are driving throughout the region.

0:37.0

Moses, the mood in Tehran. I know it's a melodramatic question, but I'm trying to read the risk-taking here.

0:46.7

The Hamas attack, the Hezbollah threats, the rockets, the Houthi salvos at the Red Sea, and the Iraqi-Iranian-backed militias,

0:59.4

the missiles into Kurdistan to destroy what the regime claimed was a

1:04.9

headquarters of Assad.

1:06.2

All of that adds up to an enormous amount of risk-taking.

1:09.5

Does Tehran believe they're winning the ring of fire are they confident are they arrogant what is

1:15.1

your reading of them good evening to you good evening John and Malcolm let's divide your question to two parts.

1:25.0

First, why Chameenayi, the leader,

1:30.0

ignited the war in Gaza because this was Iran that supported Hamas and designed that

1:41.5

massacre in Israel by the hands of Hamas and started that.

1:47.0

Why they did that, I believe that they had three reasons to start at first, an attack to Israel, to show that Israel

2:00.5

is weak in intelligence and in military second.

2:05.8

They wanted to peace process and normalization of the relationship between Arab states and Israel on hold and

2:17.3

postpone it at this for a while, especially Saudi Arabia.

2:21.3

And third, they wanted to feel the gaps between the regime and the people

2:30.0

and inside the regime, especially after the Geijina revolution, they had big gaps with the people and inside the regime. I have to say that they evaluate right now that at the first target they succeeded. But one of their miscalculation that now they say is that they expected

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