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Stay Wealthy Retirement Podcast

Investing in Bonds #2: The 2 Primary Drivers of Bond Market Returns

Stay Wealthy Retirement Podcast

Taylor Schulte, CFP®

Financialplanning, Retirement, Money, Taxplanning, Stocks, Wealth, Business, Investing, Retirementplanning

2.4606 Ratings

🗓️ 13 October 2020

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today I’m sharing part 2 of our four-part series on investing in bonds. 

Specifically, I’m going to dive into the two ways you can generate higher expected returns in the bond market. 

I’m also going to share how one of the most popular bond index funds in the world is taking more risk than most people know. 

As always, the information I’m sharing is based on decades of academic research...not a crystal ball :) 

So if you’ve been blindly buying bonds and you’re still not sure exactly what you own or why, today’s episode is for you.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Stay Wealthy podcast. I'm your host Taylor Schulte, and today I'm sharing

0:09.1

part two of our four-part series on investing in bonds. Specifically, I'm going to dive into

0:15.1

the two ways you can generate higher expected returns in the bond market. And as always, the information I'm sharing

0:22.5

is based on decades of academic research and not a crystal ball. So if you've been blindly

0:28.0

buying bonds and still not exactly sure what you own and how they're contributing to your

0:32.7

portfolio, today's episode is for you. For all the links and resources mentioned, head over to

0:38.3

you staywealthy.com forward slash 86. Similar to stocks, bonds also have known sources or drivers of

0:51.1

higher expected returns. As a reminder, with stocks, there are four drivers of higher

0:56.6

expected returns, which we covered last month in episode number 83. And those four drivers were

1:01.6

market, company size, relative price, and profitability. And although the bond market is known to be

1:08.3

more complex, there are really only two main drivers to increase

1:12.6

expected returns. And technically, there's a third, but we'll save that for another episode.

1:17.9

So the two main drivers of bond returns are term and credit. And thankfully, they're both pretty

1:24.6

easy and straightforward to understand. In fact, today's entire episode is going to be pretty easy and straightforward. I'm going to be laying the

1:31.2

foundation for some more technical concepts, which we'll get into in part three and four of

1:36.2

this series later this month. So let's start with term, or what's also referred to as the

1:42.1

term premium. The word term simply refers to the maturity date of the bond.

1:48.0

Similar to a bank CD, which I think all of us are familiar with,

1:51.9

you might buy a bond that matures in one year, five years, or maybe 10 years, or something in

1:57.7

between.

1:58.5

And just like a bank CD, the longer the maturity date, the higher

2:03.3

the interest rate you would expect to receive. In other words, if we're looking at two identical

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