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Hidden Forces

In The Future China Will Be Dominant & the US Irrelevant | Kyle Chan

Hidden Forces

Demetri Kofinas

Government, Business

4.8 • 1.6K Ratings

🗓️ 2 June 2025

⏱️ 47 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In Episode 420 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Kyle Chan—an expert on the Chinese economy and China’s industrial policy—about why he believes China is poised to dominate high-end technology and manufacturing, and why factories worldwide will reorganize their supply chains with China at the center, as the world’s preeminent technological and economic superpower.

Kyle and Demetri spend the first hour dissecting China’s industrial policy and dispelling misconceptions about the historical foundations of economic prosperity. Their discussion highlights the reciprocal interactions among the state, financial capitalism, and the market economy—dynamics that have driven the technological revolutions transforming modern life over the past two centuries.

In the second hour, Chan and Kofinas delve deeper into China’s playbook, drawing lessons for the United States. They outline policy choices that are both self-evident and broadly bipartisan: investing in research and development; forging strategically important economic ties with other nations; and fostering a welcoming, attractive climate for international talent and capital.

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If you’d like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe.

If you enjoyed today’s episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by:

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas
Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

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Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas

Episode Recorded on 04/20/2025

Transcript

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0:00.0

What's up, everybody?

0:02.0

My name is Demetri Kaffinus, and you're listening to Hidden Forces, a podcast that inspires investors,

0:09.0

entrepreneurs, and everyday citizens to challenge consensus narratives and learn how to think critically

0:16.0

about the systems of power shaping our world.

0:19.0

My guest in this episode is Kyle Chan, a researcher in the sociology

0:23.2

department at Princeton University, and an adjunct researcher at the RAND Corporation where he

0:28.4

focuses on industrial policy, clean technology, and infrastructure in China and India.

0:34.8

Kyle and I spend the first hour of our conversation discussing the nature of China's

0:39.2

industrial model and dispelling misconceptions about the historical basis of economic prosperity

0:45.0

and the reciprocal interactions between the state, financial capitalism, and the market

0:50.3

economy that are primarily responsible for enabling the sorts of technological

0:54.4

revolutions that have transformed our way of life over the last two centuries.

0:59.6

In the second hour, we delve deeper into China's development model with a focus on what

1:04.5

lessons can be applied to the U.S. today and what sorts of policy choices we should be making

1:10.0

that are both obvious, that

1:11.9

have bipartisan support, such as investing in research and development, forging strategically

1:16.9

important economic ties with other nations, and creating a welcoming and attractive climate

1:22.0

for international talent and capital. If you want access to all of this conversation, go to hiddenforces.io slash subscribe

1:30.5

and join our premium feed, which you can listen to on your mobile device using your favorite

1:35.6

podcast app, just like you're listening to this episode right now. If you want to join in on the

1:42.0

conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page.

1:55.5

And if you still have questions, feel free to send an email to info at hiddenforces.io.

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