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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

"If the Bond Market Has a Problem, Everyone Will Have a Problem"

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 12 March 2021

⏱️ 39 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

DB-Mar11,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes James Bianco, president of Bianco Research, and Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer of Bleakley Advisory Group and editor of The Boock Report, to the Daily Briefing to analyze the ongoing gyrations in the U.S Treasurys market and how their future path will impact almost every asset class. Harrison notes the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached an all-time high, and Boockvar and Bianco consider the halting of the rotation trade. Boockvar explains that inflation expectations will continue to vex the bond market while Bianco argues that a 10 year rate above 3% would be a serious problem for leveraged institutions. They investigate the effect of yields on the U.S. dollar, and Boockvar and Bianco share their ideal asset allocation in this unique investment environment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Markets up again with Dow at a record. US economists send GDP forecasts up to 5.4% and another

0:21.2

poor US treasury oxen. All of that and more coming right up with Peter Bookfar and Jim

0:27.0

Bianco. Peter Bookfar and Jim Bianco, welcome back to the Daily Briefing. Thanks for having

0:34.0

me. Yes, so I mean, this is actually the first time that we've done a three person daily

0:40.2

briefing with two people who are not from real vision. You guys are the last two people

0:45.6

have had on on Thursdays, alternating Thursdays. And actually, I think it was the one Jim

0:50.8

that I was talking to you. You were like, hold on. I'm talking to Peter Bookfar on the

0:56.2

line. We got to delay this. I was like, if you're going to talk to Peter Bookfar, you

1:00.6

have to do it right here on real vision. So that's why I have you guys together. So what's

1:07.1

going on in the markets right now? As far as the markets go, it looks like that they've

1:11.0

bottomed in the last couple of days and they're turning around. And the thing that's kind of

1:15.8

taken the markets off the boil is one sixty ten year notes has held looks like a double

1:23.6

top from last week to earlier this week. We haven't come back a lot. We're roughly at

1:29.8

one fifty two one fifty three, but it's enough to at least get the market to exhale. And

1:36.2

now we've got a counter trend going where we're back to tech and growth, seeming to lead

1:41.1

the way, least the last few days. You know, value hasn't declined, but it's definitely

1:47.7

back in the, you know, in the backseat now where growth is in the front seat.

1:52.2

Yeah, you know, let me, I'll go to you in this for a second, Peter, but that sounds good to me,

1:57.6

because I've been looking at the rate almost as leading the rotation that we've been seeing.

2:04.2

And we did get up to that one sixty level back off. I'm looking for consolidation above one

2:09.9

fifty by the end of tomorrow to confirm that we're out of that range from one, you know, one percent

2:16.2

to one fifty that we're in this new range and that potential we can move higher on ten years.

...

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