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Odd Lots

Hyun Song Shin On What Central Banks Have Learned From The Crisis

Odd Lots

Bloomberg

Business News, News, News Commentary, Business, Investing

4.52K Ratings

🗓️ 2 July 2020

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Central banks and fiscal authorities around the world have taken extraordinary measures to stem the economic fallout from the coronavirus crisis. But what’s proven most effective, and what have central banks learned over the last several months? On this episode, we speak with Hyun Song Shin, economic adviser and head of research at the Bank for International Settlements, about the new policymaker toolbox that has emerged and what more needs to be done.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

To me, context is about pattern recognition.

0:02.8

It's connecting the dots.

0:04.4

It's giving readers an ability to synthesize

0:07.6

a number of different perspectives

0:09.2

so they can understand how the greater whole works,

0:12.0

because nothing really occurs in isolation anymore.

0:14.4

I'm Tim O'Brien and I'm the senior executive editor at Bloomberg Opinion.

0:18.0

On our platform, we ask tough questions and solve complex problems with the facts in mind.

0:23.0

Start exploring our opinion coverage and more at Bloomberg.com slash subscribe. Hello and welcome to another Wiesenthall.

0:45.0

I'm Tracy Alleway.

0:46.0

And I'm Joe Wiesenthal.

0:48.0

So Joe, one of the really interesting things about our current economic situation is that we basically have a recession that's been induced by policy, albeit not necessarily economic policy, but by policy in general.

1:08.0

This fact makes understanding this moment in the economy very bizarre. It's not like anything that we've ever seen before in part because of exactly what you just identified which is that a lot of the slowdown that we've seen in economic activity was completely by design and it's hard to think of any previous comparison that really works as an analogy.

1:32.0

Yeah, exactly. So, along with this policy-induced recession,

1:38.0

we also have the fact that the economic contraction has been much, much stronger or darker than we've seen in recent years.

1:48.0

Like I think plenty of people have pointed out at this point that it's probably the biggest stop to economic activity that we've seen

1:54.6

either since World War II or the Great Depression so eclipsing the great financial

2:00.6

crisis of 2008. Definitely.

2:03.0

But the other thing that goes along with that, and I guess this is what we're going to talk about,

2:07.1

is because so much of the slowdown was by design, and obviously it wasn't all done by law. I mean people naturally change

2:16.3

their behavior in response to the virus but so many policy changes were by

2:20.4

designed to slow the spread of the virus. We also saw a sort of near real-time policy response

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