4.8 • 50 Ratings
🗓️ 5 October 2025
⏱️ 21 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Well, if you came up with a scale that could predict insurance losses, then you'd be winning the insurance game, wouldn't you? |
| 0:05.2 | Because at the moment, we can't even say what the losses are, you know, a few weeks after a storm's hit, let alone being able to predict itsteck podcast, Zoya here. And this week, we bring you a panel discussion we hosted at our July evening event, the future of catastrophe risk where |
| 0:39.4 | science meets reality. So we ramp up towards our exponential risk conference, which we are hosting |
| 0:45.4 | in March of next year. We return to Ruth Petrie, who chairs the session, joined by Tom Filk, |
| 0:51.9 | Emma Watkins and Chris Weller. As they tackle the question, are we ready for a so-called cat-six hurricane? |
| 0:59.7 | You'll hear why the Sapphire Simpson scale can't predict insurance losses, |
| 1:03.6 | what other metrics matter, from surge to rainfall to windfield size, |
| 1:08.6 | and how to think about extreme outliers with no historical president. |
| 1:12.9 | We also dive into preparedness, demand surges and the uncomfortable question of what it would |
| 1:18.5 | take to really shake the market. Just a quick note, Cat 6 here is shorthand for an extreme |
| 1:24.9 | off-the-scale event, but there's no official category six. |
| 1:29.4 | Relax, stick your feet up or simply make yourself a cup of tea. |
| 1:33.6 | Now let's dive into the conversation. |
| 1:40.6 | The discussion this evening is going to be around sort of hurricanes and climate change. |
| 1:45.4 | And specifically, when I was thinking about this, I was thinking about it, if it were to be the worst hurricane on record, a record-baking hurricane, making landfall in a really highly exposed area, what would this? |
| 1:56.3 | Are we prepared for this? |
| 1:57.5 | And sort of what would it mean? |
| 1:58.7 | So that's sort of the background to this. |
| 2:01.3 | But before we dive in, we were talking about the title of the session and it says here, |
| 2:06.7 | are we ready for a cat six? So just to be very clear, there's nothing, there is no category six |
| 2:12.7 | hurricane at present. So I'm sure you're all aware that, you know, this terminology category 1 through 5 |
| 2:19.1 | comes from Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale, and it runs from 1 through 5 and is based on wind speed, |
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