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Science Quickly

Hurricane Forecasting 101

Science Quickly

Scientific American

Science

4.31.4K Ratings

🗓️ 3 September 2025

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Meteorologists have made big strides in predicting hurricane paths, but many people still misinterpret the forecast maps. In this episode, senior news editor for sustainability Andrea Thompson joins host Rachel Feltman to unpack what those maps actually show—and why staying informed as a storm evolves is more important than ever. Recommended Reading How to Decode a Hurricane Forecast Join the #SciAmInTheWild photography challenge for a chance to win a one-year Unlimited subscription to Scientific American—plus an exclusive bundle of gadgets and gear to level up your next adventure. See the rules for entry here. E-mail us at [email protected] if you have any questions, comments or ideas for stories we should cover! Discover something new every day: subscribe to Scientific American and sign up for Today in Science, our daily newsletter. Science Quickly is produced by Rachel Feltman, Fonda Mwangi, Kelso Harper and Jeff DelViscio. This episode was edited by Alex Sugiura. Shayna Posses and Aaron Shattuck fact-check the show. The theme music was composed by Dominic Smith. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:02.0

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0:27.8

slash UK slash AI for people. For Scientific American Science quickly, I'm Rachel Feldman.

0:51.8

While scientists have gotten much better at predicting where hurricanes will go, there's still

0:57.2

a lot of confusion about what forecast maps can actually tell us.

1:01.5

That cone of uncertainty, for instance, it probably doesn't mean what you think it means.

1:07.0

Here to break down how to read these crucial forecasts, and to explain why you should keep checking them even after you think you know what a storm will do is Andrea Thompson, senior news editor for Sustainability at Scientific American.

1:19.6

Thanks so much for coming on to chat with us.

1:21.9

Thanks for having me.

1:23.0

So let's start by just reminding our listeners when hurricane season is because I feel like a lot of folks just kind of associate hurricanes with summer in like a spiritual sense, but we're still really in it, aren't we?

1:36.2

We are. So hurricane season, the actual dates are sort of artificially imposed. They run from June 1st to November 30th for the Atlantic Ocean.

1:45.4

And that's just because those dates encapsulate, you know, the vast majority of hurricane formation.

1:50.6

We do sometimes sea hurricanes form before June 1st or after November 30th, but they're rarer.

1:56.9

And we do associate hurricane season with the summer, but the peak of the season is actually at the very end of that.

2:04.1

The peak of the season runs from about mid-August until October.

2:07.7

So September is really kind of the prime time for hurricane season.

...

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