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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

How to Value a Company with the Discounted Cash Flow Model

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Motley Fool

Business, Investing

4.33.1K Ratings

🗓️ 16 April 2022

⏱️ 44 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Grab your notebook and get ready to dive deep.  Motley Fool Senior Analyst John Rotonti discusses how investors can value a company using the discounted cash flow model. This method is the fundamental way to determine if you’re getting a bargain or paying too much when you buy any stock.  Rotonti discusses:   - How to pick a discount rate for investments.  - The key difference between fair and intrinsic value. - How to project free cash flows.  Have an investing question for John? Call 703-254-1445, leave a voicemail, and he may answer your question in an upcoming episode.  Additional resource: https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/19/expectations-investing-qanda-mauboussin-rappaport/  Stocks discussed: IBM, NEE, PEP Host: John Rotonti Producer: Ricky Mulvey  Engineer: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The next step is pretty easy. Don't try to be a hero. You have to pick a tax rate.

0:05.3

Get some good industry level data. See what the average tax is. That the

0:11.3

company you're valuing has paid over the past five years or so. See what ways

0:16.1

that tax rate has been trending. Has it been trending up? Has it been trending

0:19.4

down? Understand what is driving the change in that tax rate. Pick a tax rate.

0:25.0

Run it out. You're one to your 10. I'm Dylan Lewis and that was Motley Full

0:39.2

Analyst John Ratanti. Today we're continuing John series on navigating major

0:44.4

financial statements with a breakdown of how to build and understand a DCF or

0:49.2

discounted cash flow model. I'll confess that I've built exactly one DCF in my

0:54.5

entire life. It was for a college finance class and honestly I may never make

0:59.0

another one. Even if you're like me this conversation is for you because

1:03.3

throughout John's overview of modeling cash flows he provides mental models and

1:07.2

the questions you need to ask yourself when you're looking at companies.

1:10.7

Understanding how those inputs affect a company's path forward will make you a

1:15.4

better investor even if you never open and excel spreadsheet. Before I turn

1:20.8

things over to John we also want to know what investing questions you have. Give

1:24.9

us a call at 703-254-1445 and leave us a voicemail with your name, city and

1:31.1

whatever question you may have. He may answer it on an upcoming show. That number

1:35.3

is 703-254-1445 and now here's Professor John Ratanti.

1:44.0

Hello fools. John Ratanti again and today we are going to talk about valuation

1:53.6

in in particular a discounted cash flow valuation also called a DCF for

2:03.9

discounted cash flow. So the first thing we need to understand is the the

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