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Warfare

How To Plan For a Crisis

Warfare

History Hit

History

4.5943 Ratings

🗓️ 28 May 2021

⏱️ 34 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

How is it possible to avoid disasters when they are inherently unpredictable? Niall Ferguson, renowned historian, senior fellow at Stanford University, senior faculty fellow at Harvard and visiting professor at Tsinghua University, has been studying historical responses to catastrophes. In this episode of Warfare, he draws upon the World Wars, Spanish Influenza and the HIV/AIDS epidemic to discuss the politics of planning for the worst. Niall and James question whether the responsibility and capability to plan for events such as the Covid-19 pandemic or global warming lie with democratic leaders or are hampered by economics and technological progress.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello everyone welcome back to the history hit warfare podcast I'm your host James Rogers and this week we've got the international man of history that is Professor Neil Ferguson

0:08.1

you know him from his innumerable TV shows and his best-selling books on Henry Kissinger, The Pity of War and Now Doom, the

0:15.8

politics of catastrophe. Inspired by COVID, but by no means a COVID book, Neil takes us masterfully through the history of economics, the history of war,

0:26.0

politics and networks, science, to provide us with a history and also a general theory of disaster. His take on the First World War and the Spanish

0:35.4

influenza is especially mind-blowing. So here he is, Neil Ferguson on the

0:41.0

history of Doom. Hi Neil, good to see you, how you doing? Well, as well as can be expected in the final phase of a plague, I think is the answer to that.

1:06.4

The plague year is always longer than a year, and anybody who's studied the history of pandemics

1:11.6

knows that they come and waves and they play surprise tricks on you,

1:16.0

but I would say that to have been a historian at this time and one able to work from home easily and to inhabit a relatively

1:26.3

spacious home has made the experience a very bearable one for me in fact I'm almost at the point of

1:32.4

confessing my guilty secret I've quite enjoyed the

1:34.8

pandemic which is a terrible thing to say about catastrophe that's killed more than 3 million people

1:39.6

may be much more than 3 million people depending on what you think of the statistics but it has been an opportunity

1:45.2

for me to spend a lot more time with my family and not be traveling and I have to admit that has been pretty good.

1:51.1

Do you not miss the hustle and bustle of an academic conference? No, but then I've never been that sociable. I'm actually a repressed

1:58.8

misanthroat who's happiest in his study with a pile of books. I think that's why people become historians,

2:06.0

they're sort of sociopaths who would rather hang out with the dead reading their

2:11.0

old letters than be at parties.

2:14.0

I was speaking to a colleague the other day and they said that they think that we've all got a military history complex and I'm not entirely sure it's curable.

2:21.0

Well military history is a sort of endangered discipline in the United States

2:24.6

outside of the various military institutions. There are very few posts for military historians in the

2:30.8

major US universities and very few courses on offer.

...

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