How to keep AI under control | Max Tegmark

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4.1 • 11.9K Ratings

🗓️ 30 October 2023

⏱️ 10 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

The current explosion of exciting commercial and open-source AI is likely to be followed, within a few years, by creepily superintelligent AI – which top researchers and experts fear could disempower or wipe out humanity. Scientist Max Tegmark describes an optimistic vision for how we can keep AI under control and ensure it's working for us, not the other way around.

Transcript

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0:00.0	It's daily.
0:03.0	It's TED Talks Daily. I'm your host, Elise Hugh.
0:06.0	What happens next after all the remarkable advances we've seen in artificial intelligence?
0:11.0	Physicist Max Teggmark says super intelligence is coming.
0:15.0	And in his talk from Ted AI 2023, he shares a way to think about super intelligent
0:20.2	systems and how a risky future can be avoided.
0:26.0	Five years ago, I stood on the TED stage and warned about the dangers of super intelligence. I was wrong. It went even worse than I thought.
0:40.0	I never thought governments would let AI companies get this far without any meaningful regulation.
0:49.0	And the progress of AI went even faster than I predicted. I showed this abstract landscape of tasks
0:57.0	where the elevation represented how hard it was for AI to do each task at human level, and
1:02.3	the sea level represented what AI could be back then.
1:07.0	And boy or boy has the sea been rising fast ever since, right?
1:10.0	A lot of these tasks have already gone blub blub blub blub blub blub blub blub and the water is on track to
1:15.6	submerge all land matching human intelligence at all cognitive tasks.
1:21.8	This is a definition of artificial general intelligence, AGI, which is the stated
1:28.4	goal of companies like Open AI, Google Deep Mind, and Anthropic.
1:33.7	And these companies are also trying to build superintelligence,
1:37.2	leaving human intelligence far behind.
1:40.6	And many think it will only be a few years maybe from AGI to super intelligence.
1:45.0	So when are we going to get AGI?
1:48.0	Well, until recently, most AI researchers thought it was at least decades away. And now Microsoft is saying, oh, it's almost
1:57.0	here. We're seeing sparks of AGI and chat gpity4. And the Metaculous Bedding site is showing the time left to AGI plummeting from 20 years away to 3 years away in the last 18 months.
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