How To Beat NFL Player Props with Adam Levitan, Drew Dinkmeyer, and Cort Smith (Episode 621)
Establish The Run Fantasy Football
Fantasy Football
4.7 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 5 September 2023
⏱️ 35 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Adam Levitan, Drew Dinkmeyer, and Cort Smith discuss the ins and outs of NFL player prop betting ahead of the 2023 season.
In this episode, we discuss:
The edge in player props
Utilizing projections
Best books for liquidity
When to bet and why
Differences in markets
Links mentioned in the episode:
Timestamps:
(2:47) - Why player props have a bigger edge
(6:35) - Why can we win?
(10:09) - Blending projections and soft-skill betting
(13:31) - The best books for liquidity
(18:09) - When is the best time to bet?
(23:22) - What markets to target, what markets to avoid
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hello and welcome to episode 621 of the official EstablishTheRun.com podcast. |
| 0:21.0 | My name is Adam Levitan. |
| 0:22.7 | You guys know me. |
| 0:23.7 | I don't really bet on games in the form of sides and totals. |
| 0:27.9 | I'm trying to win and I think the margins there are incredibly small, especially in the |
| 0:31.2 | NFL. |
| 0:32.2 | But what I and we do love to do where we know there is an edge is in player props to discuss |
| 0:40.2 | player props today. |
| 0:41.2 | I'm joined by two members of our props team. |
| 0:43.9 | You all know Drew Dinkmeyer, who led the NBA props team to an outrageously strong performance |
| 0:48.8 | on insane volume last season. |
| 0:51.7 | Drew, how's it going? |
| 0:52.7 | It's going great. |
| 0:54.2 | I know you're only into props, but if you're not live betting the moment, you know, Jack |
| 0:58.0 | Sinner grabs at his ankle and starts to feel like a little, a little bit of a calf cramp |
| 1:02.6 | there. |
| 1:03.6 | I don't know what you're doing with your life. |
| 1:04.6 | I get it together. |
| 1:05.6 | Start live betting some tennis as well. |
| 1:07.2 | Oh, baby. |
| 1:08.2 | Live betting tennis is a lot of fun. |
| 1:10.4 | Also today thrilled to introduce court Smith, formerly of Rotoviz, been a huge player in |
... |
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