4.6 • 787 Ratings
🗓️ 10 June 2021
⏱️ 63 minutes
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When you see a statistic reported in the news, like "10% of University of California Berkeley students were homeless this year," how do you evaluate it? You shouldn't blindly accept every statistic you read. But neither should you reject everything that sounds surprising. Tim Harford, economist and author of The Data Detective: Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics, talks about the heuristics he recommends using, and the mistakes people tend to make.
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0:57.9 | Welcome to rationally speaking, the podcast where we explore the borderlands between reason and nonsense. |
1:04.8 | I'm your host, Julia Galef, and today's episode features Tim Harford, an economist and journalist who writes the undercover economist column for the Financial Times, and the author of multiple books, including most recently, |
1:12.8 | The Data Detective, Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics. The idea of the book is to help |
1:18.6 | you evaluate statistical claims that you read or hear with a skeptical eye, but not a reflexively |
1:26.5 | skeptical eye. So we talk about that and also about how to |
1:31.2 | overcome motivated reasoning, which is something I wrote a whole book on and Tim devotes a chunk of |
1:36.4 | his book to as well. So it was interesting to compare notes and see where our approaches agree and |
1:43.2 | where they don't. |
1:47.4 | So here is my conversation with Tim Harford. |
2:01.0 | One thing I loved about your book was just the framing of it as kind of a corrective to this classic book that I'm sure a lot of listeners have heard of called How to Lie with Statistics, which came out in, I guess, the 50s. |
2:05.3 | And it was just kind of delightful to me because this book's very famous, and I've never seen anyone criticize it before. In fact, it actually hadn't occurred to me to be critical |
2:10.6 | of the book before, but you made this great case for why we need kind of a corrective to how |
2:14.9 | to lie with statistics. So could you just summarize like what that book is about and why you felt a corrective to How to Lie with Statistics. So could you just summarize what that book is about |
2:18.5 | and why you felt a corrective was needed? Absolutely. I mean, How to Lie with Statistics is a great |
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