How the pandemic will shape the near future | Bill Gates

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4.1 • 11.9K Ratings

🗓️ 7 July 2020

⏱️ 23 minutes

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Summary

Bill Gates talks best (and worst) case scenarios for the coronavirus pandemic in the months ahead, explaining the challenges of reducing virus transmission, providing an update on promising vaccine candidates, offering his thoughts on reopening and even taking a moment to address conspiracy theories circulating about himself. Stay tuned for his critical call to fellow philanthropists to ramp up their action, ambition and awareness to create a better world for all. (This virtual conversation, hosted by head of TED Chris Anderson, was recorded June 29, 2020.)

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Transcript

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0:00.0	You're listening to TED Talks Daily. I'm Elise Hugh. Coronavirus has killed more than half a million people worldwide, and the virus continues to overwhelm the U.S. and several developing countries. Today, head of Ted Chris Anderson interviews the technologist and philanthropist Bill Gates. Gates helps us understand what's happening with the pandemic, what makes COVID so novel,
0:25.8	and what researchers are doing to knock down the virus's numbers.
0:29.9	In this talk today, it's longer than our usual, but it's worth sticking with.
0:34.3	Bill Gates takes some time to address some conspiracy theories circulating about himself,
0:39.3	which is pretty great.
0:41.3	We have an amazing conversation today with none other than Bill Gates.
0:47.3	He has become one of the most trusted voices on this pandemic and where it's heading and what we might do about it.
0:58.5	After all, it's been a topic, along with public health, a topic of fascination for him for many years.
1:06.3	He gave a great TED talk about it five years ago, warning the world.
1:10.2	He has access to the world's best scientists.
1:12.9	He's really good at converting what they say into understandable English.
1:18.8	And he has a foundation able to do a lot of interventions relevant to it.
1:23.6	So it's always exciting talking with him.
1:32.9	Welcome Bill Gates. Thank you. All right. It's great to have you here, Bill.
1:38.6	You know, we had a TED conversation about three months ago about this pandemic. And back then, fewer than a thousand people in the US had died and fewer than 20,000 worldwide. I mean, the numbers now are like 128,000 dead in the
1:48.4	US and more than half a million worldwide in three months. What is your diagnosis of what is
1:56.4	possible for the rest of this year? You look at a lot of models. What do you think best and worst-case scenarios might be?
2:04.3	Well, the range of scenarios, sadly, is quite large, including that as we get into the fall,
2:11.7	we could have death rates that rival the worst of what we had in the April time period.
2:18.5	And if you get a lot of young people infected, eventually they will infect old people again.
2:24.0	And so you'll get into the nursing homes, the homeless shelters, the places where we've had a lot of our deaths.
2:31.7	The innovation track, which probably will touch on diagnostics, therapeutics, vaccines,
	...

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