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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Houston Texans 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 27 July 2022

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary


Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/houston-texans-season-betting-preview-2022 

Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)


1. The Texans second highest paid skill position player in 2022 is a fullback. Not sure much more needs to be said about roster consruction. 

2. The optimism around Davis Mills for how he finished the season in 2021 is warranted, but the connection to Pep Hamilton and assumed success as Pep steps into the OC role may be a stretch too far. 

3. The accolades are there! Pep coached Andrew Luck in college, took the job with Indianapolis when Luck was drafted and got to the AFC Championship, then coached Justin Herbert in his breakout rookie campaign. 

4. But, I have bigger questions! If he was as great as listed, why was there a three year span recently out of the league? No NFL team wanted him. He ended up in the failed XFL experiment. For two decades he has been promoted, but ultimately fails. Is that going to be different under Lovie Smith? 

5. The Texans will play a west coast style offense that supports short passes, and with the lack of WR depth, deep downfield passes are unlikely to be the norm. So where does that leave sports bettors? The market has adjusted down for the Texans in every market, and they are listed as underdogs in every game. 

6. Value in backing Houston will be rare in 2022, as this team looks poised to have a peak of 5 wins. 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everybody. Today is Wednesday, July 27th, almost into the first week of August as we continue on with these NFL team previews here on the Simple Handicap podcast before I get to the Houston, Texans today. And trust me, it is a generally riveting preview. I'm not setting the bar too high for what the preview is, but I just want to ask a favor.

0:23.1

If you have a couple of seconds right now, please, I would appreciate it.

0:27.3

If you pause the podcast, go down, leave a star rating from one to five on the podcast,

0:32.9

and then leave a comment if you have a couple of extra seconds.

0:36.5

The podcast charts are now starting to heat up,

0:39.4

and everybody's jockeying for a position. And right now I currently sit sixth for the sports

0:45.0

betting keyword and ahead of me are places like Draft Kings, CBS, Fanduel, all of the major shows.

0:52.5

As we were last year, we were right neck and neck competing

0:55.1

with a lot of those, all because of your support, but to get a little bit of an extra boost,

0:59.9

if you wouldn't mind leaving a rating, letting me know what you think, it would go a really

1:03.6

long way to help me out. So if you found any value over the last couple of seasons or any

1:08.4

of these preview podcasts so far, just drop that quick rating and review.

1:12.2

I really, really appreciate it.

1:14.6

Also want to remind everybody that there is a corresponding written preview

1:18.5

on Covers.com attached to this,

1:20.6

written by Jason Logan, but also sharing the thoughts of professional better,

1:25.0

the hitman himself.

1:26.6

You can get a full breakdown of the Texans in addition

1:28.7

to my look. And if you haven't already, Circa Million 4, the pro football contest, amazing team

1:35.4

over at Circa putting this on each and every year. The entries right now, 648, the current overlay,

1:42.0

massive $5.3 million.

1:44.5

I will be down in Las Vegas the weekend of August 25th, 26th, 27th, and 28th, the preview panel.

...

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