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Real Estate Training & Coaching School

Housing Crash Coming Soon? BUILDING BOOM or BUST? (Part 3)

Real Estate Training & Coaching School

Real Estate Training & Coaching School

Business, Careers

4.7669 Ratings

🗓️ 18 May 2021

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Where are all the new homes? Why are the builders so far behind? Can't we just build our way into more inventory? 1.  How do you find out about New Construction in your marketplace? What questions should you be asking? 2.  Who is building what and where? What is the registration process for your buyers? Which builders have waiting lists? *Know before you go or before your buyer does. -MLS.  -NewHomeSource.com  -NewHomeGuide.com -Your local newspapers and lifestyle magazines -Builder's own websites 3.  What's up with lumber? As the pandemic crushed the US economy last spring, sawmills slowed or shut down lumber production in anticipation of a housing slump, but that slump never happened and now there isn't enough lumber to feed the demand of today's super hot, inventory-starved market. FACT: The surge in lumber prices in the past year has added $35,872 to the price of an average new single-family home and $12,966 to the market value of an average new multifamily home, according to the National Association of Home Builders. About 1 in 4 homes for sale are now newly built, the highest share ever. Historically new homes make up about 1 in 10, but fierce buyer competition is behind that shift.  Facts: New lot (land) supply is down by 20% Lumber prices seem to set a new record almost daily, now up 67% this year and up 340% from a year ago, according to Random Lengths, a wood products industry tracking firm.  Even the cost of drywall is up 7%, year over year. Steel is up 18% year over year. Average cost per building lot is up 11% year over year and supply of lots to buy is down 20%. 4.  The result is a combination of delayed delivery for existing contracts, waiting lists for new construction purchases and sticker shock for what price you'll pay for new. Even renovations are stymied due to the inflation in costs and lack of availability of materials. Even with all of those facts, the demand is there: "While lumber prices have gone up, we have been able to pass it on to the consumer with higher prices for homes," Jeffrey Mezger, the CEO of KB Home (KBH), told CNN Business. "And there is still far more demand than there is supply." Even multifamily new builds are costing on average $12,000 more to build, causing rents to be $119 more per month as a result. 5.  No one knows when we'll get all of this demand supplied with fresh housing, but this is inspiring several 3D printing companies to get serious about building houses. A 3D printed house costs half the time, half the money and only takes a crew of 4 to build it! When there's a need in the market, new innovations have the opportunity to fulfill that need. Watch out for new solutions to the inventory challenge! Schedule A Free Coaching Call Listen on iTunes Listen on Spotify Listen on Stitcher

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Real Estate Coaching Radio starring award-winning real estate coaches and number one international bestselling authors, Tim and Julie Harris.

0:10.2

This is the number one daily radio show for realtors looking for a no BS authentic real-time coaching experience.

0:18.2

What's really working in today's market, how to generate more leads, make more money,

0:22.8

and have more time for what you love in your life.

0:26.0

And now your host, Tim and Julie Harris.

0:36.1

Three, two, one, and we're back, Julie.

0:37.9

It is May the 18th and we're picking up where we left off yesterday and the day before.

0:43.0

And this is part three and we are addressing head on the conversation that has been happening

0:48.8

all over really the world with regards to the housing markets.

0:52.1

A lot of people are firm believers that there's going to be a housing crash.

0:55.0

After all, how can there be all this price appreciation,

0:58.0

aka inflation without some sort of bubble popping?

1:01.0

I mean, that's what the people will have you believe.

1:04.0

And so what Julie and I've been doing is we've been setting the table for you

1:07.0

to have all the information necessary so that you can give folks a really clear,

1:12.6

honest, educated answer as to why there will or won't be a housing crash. And our bias is

1:18.1

obviously towards there won't be a housing crash. Now, before we get into the weeds anymore,

1:22.7

and Julie's written down, I think, four or five points here, they're fantastic. I'm going to

1:26.0

remind all of you that it does not matter what direction the market goes. So please don't be thinking that Julie and I are

1:32.0

just, you know, some sort of housing cheerleaders and that we're only wanting the housing market

1:37.2

to go one particular direction. What we want is irrelevant. The market's going to go on whatever

1:41.0

direction it wants to go. But as a skilled real estate practitioner,

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