Welcome to today's edition of the Clay Travis and Buck Sexton show podcast.

Welcome back in Clay Travis, Buck Sexton show.

Appreciate all of you hanging out with us.

We got Ryan Gerdusky about to join us right now. He's got a fantastic piece up.

It is called the Trump-Biden path to 270. How the presidential campaign is changing fast the sub stack is national

populist newsletter you guys love Ryan Gerdusky and I say this fondly because he can

nerd out with the best of them when it comes to analyzing so many

different parameters so many different races we've had him on a lot over the past

couple of years Ryan thanks for joining us you were initially I think it's fair to

characterize skeptical that Trump in 2024 would be able to put together a coalition that could lead him to victory.

As we sit here 13 months out and you are looking and checking and analyzing all the data sources

coming in, you actually sources coming in.

You actually are coming around to a place where I think Buck and I have been for the last couple of months,

which is Trump's actually in a really strong place if you consider where he was for instance in

October of 15 October of 19 he was actually in a pretty strong place that was

pre-COVID but how would you assess Trump's chances in 24 and how

did they compare to his historical standing Ryan and thanks for joining us.

Yeah absolutely thanks for having me. I would say right now, say in the

beginning of the year he had about a 30 percent, 25 to 30 percent chance of

winning. He's probably at around a 40 to 45 percent chance of winning right now.

So if I was a betting man, my money would still be on Joe Biden to win the election.

But odds have gotten a lot better for Trump in a very, very short period of time despite the new cycle

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