4.7 • 1.9K Ratings
🗓️ 23 April 2017
⏱️ 21 minutes
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0:00.0 | The Hi, I'm Peter Adamson, and you're listening to the History of Philosophy Podcast, brought to you with the support of the philosophy department at |
0:24.1 | King's College London and the LMU in Munich, online at www. History of Philosophy. |
0:30.6 | Net. Today's episode, Back to the Future, for knowledge and predestination. |
0:37.0 | Suppose you and I are arguing about the outcome of an upcoming election. I think that candidate A will prevail over candidate B and I have good reasons for my view. |
0:50.2 | All the polls suggest that candidate A has an insurmountable lead and candidate B is manifestly unfit for office. |
0:57.0 | You however insist that candidate B may just bring a surprise victory. |
1:02.0 | When the vote is held, candidate B does not. may just bring a surprise victory. |
1:02.7 | When the vote is held, candidate B does indeed win the election. |
1:07.0 | In addition to my dismay at the outcome, I must shoulder the additional burden of admitting |
1:11.4 | that you were right and I was wrong. |
1:14.2 | Or perhaps not, I might say to you, look, when you predicted the outcome of the election, |
1:19.6 | the result was still open. |
1:21.1 | The voters still had the capacity to choose between both candidates, so it cannot already have |
1:26.6 | been true then that candidate B would win. |
1:29.8 | That only became true once the election was actually held. So in fact, when you and I were having our argument, |
1:36.4 | neither of us was right because there was as yet no truth of the matter. Now please excuse me |
1:42.2 | while I look into the rules for acquiring Canadian citizenship. |
1:47.2 | Since you are a faithful listener of this podcast, my argument will probably remind you of a passage in Aristotle. |
1:53.5 | I covered it a mere 241 episodes ago, so you probably remember it quite well. |
1:59.5 | But just in case here's a recap. |
2:02.0 | In the ninth chapter of his logical work on interpretation, Aristotle presents an argument for determinism using the example of a sea battle. |
2:10.0 | The argument goes that if it is now true that there will be a sea battle tomorrow, |
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