5 • 2.6K Ratings
🗓️ 13 October 2022
⏱️ 42 minutes
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"Fairness in pricing often starts with the idea of competition - if there's healthy competition, that will bring the price down. But, in the United States, if you look from the 1990s to the 2020s, credit card profits have steadily risen, and real interest rates have steadily risen and at the same time, default rates have fallen and it's just less expensive, in some ways to run a credit card company than it used to be - so I think that's the first clue that the pricing isn't fair".
In this episode of HTLMTS, I speak to Elena Botella, a fellow CapitalOne alum who, when she realised how incentives in the modern could become misaligned in the modern lending model, decided to do something about it, something rather inspiring to a wandering soul like me - she took herself on a road trip around America to hear the human story of consumer debt.
"In the credit card industry, you see the transaction, you see what some this credit enables, but you don't always see the harm side of it... I heard from consumers who had followed a similar pattern, and came to feel that credit cards had done them more harm than good".
Delinquent: Inside the American Debt Machine launched this week (11 October 2022) and is now widely available in all bookstores, but the folks over at https://bookshop.org/books/delinquent-inside-america-s-debt-machine/9780520380356 probably appreciate your business more than the bigger names we might gravitate to first (I’m not pointing fingers, I have my own Amazon links down below 😅)
You can find more of Elena’s writing at http://elenabotella.com/about or on Twitter as @elenabotella. While Elena’s work at Omidyar Network starts here: https://omidyar.com/omidyar_team/elena-botella/
The research of mine that looked ta price sensitivity is getting old now, but is over here https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/increased-price-transparency-shake-up-hong-kong-loan-market-brendan/
You can learn more about myself, Brendan le Grange, on my LinkedIn page (feel free to connect), my action-adventure novels are on Amazon, some versions even for free, and my work with ConfirmU and our gamified psychometric scores is at https://confirmu.com/ and on episode 24 of this very show https://www.howtolendmoneytostrangers.show/episodes/episode-24
If you have any feedback or questions, if you would like to participate in the show, or if you'd like to find full written transcripts with timestamps head on over to HowtoLendMoneytoStrangers.Show
Oh, and since you like banking podcasts, head on over to https://blog.feedspot.com/banking_podcasts/ to find related content that you may find interesting.
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0:00.0 | Monks looks to the future to meet your aspirations. |
0:04.0 | That's why we take time to consider those key themes that we believe will provide opportunities for the years ahead. |
0:10.0 | Looking forward in this way, rather than backwards, helps our search for those companies that will shape the future. |
0:16.0 | We think it's a better way to deliver returns you can look forward to. |
0:20.0 | Monks is managed by Bayley Gifford. A key information document is available by visiting BayleyGifford.com. |
0:27.0 | As with any investment, capital is at risk. |
0:33.0 | Competition is not working, right? Fairness in pricing often starts with the idea of competition. |
0:39.0 | If there is a healthy competition that will bring the price down and in the United States, if you look from the 1990s to the 2020s, |
0:47.0 | credit card profits have stuckle risen and real interest rates have stuckle risen. |
0:52.0 | On average, from about 8% to about 12%, so 50% increase. |
0:57.0 | At the same time, default rates have actually fallen. |
1:00.0 | So it's not that banks are lending to riskier customers. They're not. |
1:04.0 | Prices are rising. Well, every cost is falling. |
1:08.0 | So low losses are falling because of better underwriting. |
1:11.0 | Of course, it's just like less expensive in some ways to run a credit card company than it used to be. |
1:15.0 | Right? Like we have AWS, we have all these innovations. |
1:17.0 | So I think that's the first clue that the pricing isn't fair. |
1:26.0 | But your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could. |
1:30.0 | They didn't stop to think if they should. |
1:33.0 | It's a quote from Jurassic Park, but in many ways could equally be from Elena Botea's incredibly important new book, |
1:41.0 | The Linkwint, Inside the American Dead Machine. Welcome to Heartlein Money to Strangers with Brendan Lagrange. |
1:49.0 | Elena Botea, Principal at Omidia Network and Author of the Linkwint, which is available now from the University of California Press, Bookshop.org, and wherever good books are sold. |
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