Graham Allison on the Risks of a US-China War
Odd Lots
Bloomberg
4.4 • 1.6K Ratings
🗓️ 27 November 2025
⏱️ 53 minutes
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Summary
The US and China are in a "Thucydides Trap," whereby the risk of war is heightened when an established power is threatened by a rapidly rising power. This is the framework that's been popularized by Graham Allison, the Douglas Dillon Professor of Government at Harvard University. Professor Allison has been writing about China and the US-China relationship for decades. He's been focused on the growing odds of a violent conflict between the two powers. On this episode, he explains his work and the conditions that drive greater risk of armed conflict. He also tells us what both sides get wrong about each other, and what it will take to reduce the odds of military involvement.
More: Henry Wang on China's Role in the New Emerging World Order
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