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Wall Street Breakfast

Goldman Sachs gets more bearish on stocks

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business, Investing, Business News, News

3.8950 Ratings

🗓️ 31 March 2025

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Goldman cuts its S&P target for the second time this month. (0:15) Newsmax soars on first trading day. (1:29) CoreWeave continues to struggle after IPO. (1:55)

Show Notes
Is Apple’s rumored Nvidia server buy a big deal?

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis.

0:09.7

Good afternoon. Today is Monday, March 31st, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. Our top story so far,

0:16.1

Goldman Sachs has cut its S&P 500 target for the second time this month, as its economists raised their projections

0:22.2

of a U.S. recession to 35%. Equity strategist David Koston says higher tariffs, weaker economic

0:29.1

growth, and greater inflation than we previously assumed, prompted Goldman to cut its year-end

0:34.0

view to 5,900 from 6200 for the benchmark. If the growth outlook and investor

0:39.7

confidence deteriorate even further, valuations could decline much more than we forecast, Kusin

0:44.8

said. Economists at Goldman Sachs now see the average U.S. tariff rate rising to 15% this year

0:51.4

from a previous 10% view. Chief economist Jan Hatsyas says,

0:56.0

almost the entire revision reflects a more aggressive assumption for reciprocal tariffs.

1:01.0

Goldman bumped up as 12-month recession probability to 35% from 20% and sliced down as 20-25 GDP

1:07.9

projection to 1% from 1.5% on a Q4 basis. The upgrade from our previous 20%

1:14.7

recession estimate reflects our lower growth baseline, the sharp recent deterioration in household

1:20.2

and business confidence, and statements from the White House officials indicating greater

1:24.6

willingness to tolerate near-term economic weakness in pursuit of their policies,

1:28.8

Hatsias said. Among active stocks, conservative-focused news network Newsmax opened for trading on its

1:35.3

first day as a public stock at $14, above its $10 initial public offering price, and rose from there

1:41.9

to a 66% gain before a volatility halt just before 11 a.m.

1:46.6

Eastern Time. That halt was quickly followed by another and another. Shares remain volatile, but have

1:52.5

reached a high of more than $75 intraday. Sticking with recent issues, shares of CoreWeave are under

1:58.7

pressure following its second full day of trading following its IPO last week.

2:03.0

The cloud computing company's startups now's day debut was far from a dream run,

...

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