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Wall Street Breakfast

Goldilocks jobs reports

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 1 September 2023

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A rise in the unemployment rate with participation rising points to a looser labor market. (0:15) Stocks set to gain for the week after a down August where oil was a rare winner. (1:27)

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb

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Show Notes
Walgreens Boots CEO Rosalind Brewer resigns
Li Auto deliveries rose 663.8% Y/Y in August
NIO delivers 19,329 vehicles in August


Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Office Wall Street Lunch.

0:04.0

Our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:08.0

Good afternoon.

0:09.0

Today is Friday, September 1st, and I'm your host, Kim Con.

0:12.0

Our top story so far, it was a glau first and I'm your host Kim Con.

0:12.9

Our top story so far.

0:14.6

It was a Goldilocks jobs report for Fed followers.

0:17.6

August non-farm payrolls rose by 187,000, higher than the 170 expected, but that was cancelled out by a downward revision to July's

0:25.8

gain.

0:26.8

But the key was an unexpected jump in the unemployment rate to 3.8% from 3.5%.

0:32.2

That was spurred by a whopping 736,000 people entering the

0:35.6

labor force last month, bringing the participation rate up to 62.8 percent.

0:41.0

I. G. says, with higher borrowing costs, less credit availability, and student loan repayments

0:46.6

all set to increasingly weigh on economic activity, we fear that the unemployment rate will climb

0:51.6

further. Unfortunately, it is unlikely to be just through rising participation rates,

0:56.0

but will likely involve some job losses to giving the FLMC a win-win environment of job creation with weaker wage pressure.

1:02.0

Swaps firmed up expectations at the... of job creation with weaker wage pressure.

1:03.0

Swaps firmed up expectations that the Fed Funds rate has reached its peak

1:07.0

with a greater chance of the first cut coming in May.

1:10.0

Pantheon macros Ian Shepardson says this Jaws report clearly increases the pressure on the Fed not to hike this month,

1:16.5

and it would now take a horrific PPI or CPI data to trigger action.

1:21.5

He says the Fed is done hiking and the next move will be an easing as soon as next March.

...

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