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Top Traders Unplugged

GM32: Commodity Super Cycle in Full Force ft. Jeff Currie

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 18 January 2023

⏱️ 63 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode, Cem and Niels are joined by Jeff Currie, Head of Commodities Research at Goldman Sachs, for a conversation on the shifts in global natural resources that we are witnessing right now. We discuss how the focus on de-carbonization has impacted the economy and why the low income group is actually the key driver of inflation, why Currie believes markets are set up for a recession in 2023 and how the war in Ukraine causes disruptions in energy infrastructure. We also discuss why OPEC has risen to power again and what drives the oil prices, why we might run out of metals in the near future, why boycotting Russian oil is a climate paradox and what might be the solution to the energy crisis, how the underinvestment in carbon creates a ripple effect in multiple other sectors, why Currie believes renewable energy might not be the right solution to the energy crisis, how to profit from the commodity super cycle and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

02:35 - Introduction to Jeff Currie

04:18 - A new kind of inflation?

08:41 - Policy and what drives inflation

15:41 - The outlook for the demand side

22:45 - Short term position and the commodity space

28:11: - Disruptions in infrastructure

31:17 - The rise of OPEC

33:32 - Status on the strategic oil reserve

34:20 - Volatility in oil

39:45 - Are we running out of metal?

44:12 - The situation with gas

48:15...

Transcript

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0:00.0

We don't know. And we don't know. Maybe it's good, maybe it's bad. We don't know. But here's the way I like to

0:12.8

think about it. The risk of it, what if it's really bad? Why take the risk? Yeah, it's expensive.

0:24.3

But here's my problem is we're not addressing that problem and the risk around it in a rational manner. And that's my dislike for ESG is, is,

0:30.7

you know, let's solve this problem, but let's do it in a rational manner that actually gets results.

0:37.4

Imagine spending an hour with the world's greatest traders. Imagine rational manner that actually gets results.

0:40.7

Imagine spending an hour with the world's greatest traders.

0:45.2

Imagine learning from their experiences, their successes, and their failures.

0:47.1

Imagine no more.

0:53.6

Welcome to Top Traders Unplugged, the place where you can learn from the best hedge fund managers in the world, so you can take your

0:54.7

manager, due diligence, or investment career to the next level. Before we begin today's

0:59.6

conversation, remember to keep two things in mind. All the discussion we'll have about investment

1:04.3

performance is about the past, and past performance does not guarantee or even infer anything

1:09.6

about future performance. Also understand

1:11.9

that there's a significant risk of financial loss with all investment strategies, and you need to

1:16.4

request and understand the specific risks from the investment manager about their product

1:20.9

before you make investment decisions. Here's your host, veteran hedge fund manager, Niels Kostrup Larson.

1:37.9

A new world order is emerging, and in our global macro series, I, along with my co-host,

1:42.6

Jim Kassan, want to dig deep into the minds of some of the most prominent experts to help us better understand what this new

1:44.5

global macro-driven world may look like. We want to explore their perspectives on a host of

1:49.7

game-changing issues and hopefully dig out nuances in their work through meaningful conversations.

1:55.5

Our guest today is one of the most sought-out people when it comes to understanding the

1:59.7

global natural resource shift we're witnessing right now.

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