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Top Traders Unplugged

GM10: MMT, Global Warming and the Uniqueness of the 2020 Crisis ft. Steve Keen

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 9 September 2020

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

We are extremely honoured to welcome Steve Keen, the legendary Australian economist, to our podcast today. Steve is one of the leading critics of mainstream economics, and in our conversation provided a valuable alternative perspective to some of the critical issues facing us today. As you might expect, we did spend time discussing the COVID crisis and the potential policy options for addressing its economic effects, but we also touched on a range of other topics, from climate change to digital currencies, as well as giving Rob the opportunity to ask Steve about Brexit. Topics Discussed in this Episode COVID crisis as a demand and supply shock Deflation "I have expected deflation right from the very beginning of the '87 crisis, when I first started modelling financial instability, because we have an excessive level of private debt." Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) "One of the problems that we have about understanding this crisis is about understanding money itself. We are continually getting it wrong." The Wealth Effect’ vs free markets “A big difference that can actually have them “succeed” in causing inflation is that instead of a lot of this QE winding up in asset prices and winding up in the financial system, a lot of it is getting injected into the economy in the form of business loans that turn into grants and helicopter money to consumers, extra unemployment benefits...” Fiat and Gesselian currencies Central bank digital currencies "I was hoping that the Russians and the Chinese would get together and form a currency basket system. The one thing I can say in favor of Donald Trump is he has accelerated discussions by central banks around the world about the need for, potentially, a basket of currencies; basically a version of SDRs to be for international trade as well." The Euro "The Euro, itself, has become part of a symbol of Europe, and people like the fact that they can travel between one country and another and not have to change their bank accounts, or their banknotes, and so on. So, even the Italians, who I have said have economically suffered more than anybody...and they have been forced into austerity... Even the Italians are being wedded to it." Climate Change "What is actually causing the increase in GDP is increase in energy. We have a high level of GDP because we use more energy. The correlation coefficient between energy consumption and GDP, at the global level, is .997." Government Debt and Deficits “The idea that government debt is a problem is a problem of understanding what government debt is. We know what the Federal Reserve can do with its keystrokes. If it decides to cancel that debt, it can cancel that debt. It can buy back all the government debt outstanding tomorrow and it could cancel it the day after.” Links Catch up with Steve and learn more about his work: Steve Keen Follow Niels, Moritz, Lyn on Twitter: Niels Kaastrup-Larsen Moritz Seibert Rob Carver Subscribe on: Full Transcript The following is a full detailed transcript of this conversion. Click here to subscribe to our mailing list, and get full access to our library of downloadable eBook transcripts! Steve: I think one of the most sensible ideas about money was Gesell's idea that money should depreciate. He was focusing on money as a means of transactions, a means of payment. If you have a money system where people are focused upon hoarding, what you get is a slowdown in the effectiveness of money as a means of payment. I think you all know the story of the town of Wörgl, in Austria, during the Great Depression. Are you aware of that? Moritz: Yeah,

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

I think one of the most sensibilities about money was Gisle's idea that money should

0:10.3

depreciate because he was focusing on money as a means of transactions, a means of payment.

0:16.4

And if you have a money system where people are focused upon hoarding, and what you get is a slowdown

0:21.8

and the effectiveness of money is the means of payment. You think you all know the story of the

0:26.2

town of Wargall in Austria during the Great Depression. You're aware of that? Yeah, they had their

0:32.0

own currency system. Yeah, and that was a gazillion currency designed to depreciate. The whole idea being if you didn't spend it, what you had, the value of it declined over time because of a stamp script.

0:43.3

And that actually meant that town went from depression levels of unemployment to zero unemployment in the middle of the Great Depression,

0:50.3

until they were stopped in that experiment by the Austrian Central Bank and they went back

0:54.5

to the same level of depression as everybody else and of course they voted for the Nazis not

0:58.6

2 or too long after. So a depreciating currency actually encourages spending.

1:06.8

For me, the best part of my podcasting journey has been a chance to refine my own investment framework through a series of conversations with extraordinary investors in every corner of the world.

1:17.7

In this series, I, along with my co-host Robert Carver and Moritz-C-Burit, want to continue our education by digging deeper into the minds of some of the thought leaders when it comes to how the world economy and global markets really work to try and learn how they think.

1:33.7

We want to understand the experiences that have shaped them, the processes they follow, and the historical events that have influenced them.

1:42.6

We also want to ask questions outside our normal rules-based playground.

1:47.8

We're not looking for trade ideas or random guesses about an unknown future,

1:51.7

but rather knowledge accumulated over the course of decades in the markets

1:56.8

to try and make us better informed investors.

2:00.4

And we want to share those conversations with you.

2:06.5

Our guest today is not one of the stereotype economists,

2:11.1

but rather someone who really stands up for what he believes,

2:15.3

and for decades have been very vocal in his critique of mainstream economics

2:20.1

and who have gone on to develop some unorthodox ways of modeling money. So I'm absolutely

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